**Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment with its dominant 61.5% implied probability, driven by record-setting advance ticket sales that hit $50 million by early September—far ahead of typical timelines—and the franchise’s proven ability to deliver event-level openings.** The December 18 release features Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers directing, and a sprawling ensemble including the Fantastic Four and X-Men elements, building on strong trailer engagement and premium-format demand. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after its July 31 debut generated franchise records and over $2 billion globally, yet its already-realized performance leaves less room for further upside compared with Doomsday’s still-building momentum. Later-year titles such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds, reflecting lower anticipated opening-week scale despite November and December slots.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$165,419 Vol.
$165,419 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$165,419 Vol.
$165,419 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$71,273 Vol.
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$61,210 Vol.
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment with its dominant 61.5% implied probability, driven by record-setting advance ticket sales that hit $50 million by early September—far ahead of typical timelines—and the franchise’s proven ability to deliver event-level openings.** The December 18 release features Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers directing, and a sprawling ensemble including the Fantastic Four and X-Men elements, building on strong trailer engagement and premium-format demand. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after its July 31 debut generated franchise records and over $2 billion globally, yet its already-realized performance leaves less room for further upside compared with Doomsday’s still-building momentum. Later-year titles such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds, reflecting lower anticipated opening-week scale despite November and December slots.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$165,419Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment with its dominant 61.5% implied probability, driven by record-setting advance ticket sales that hit $50 million by early September—far ahead of typical timelines—and the franchise’s proven ability to deliver event-level openings.** The December 18 release features Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers directing, and a sprawling ensemble including the Fantastic Four and X-Men elements, building on strong trailer engagement and premium-format demand. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after its July 31 debut generated franchise records and over $2 billion globally, yet its already-realized performance leaves less room for further upside compared with Doomsday’s still-building momentum. Later-year titles such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds, reflecting lower anticipated opening-week scale despite November and December slots.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$165,419Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment with its dominant 61.5% implied probability, driven by record-setting advance ticket sales that hit $50 million by early September—far ahead of typical timelines—and the franchise’s proven ability to deliver event-level openings.** The December 18 release features Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers directing, and a sprawling ensemble including the Fantastic Four and X-Men elements, building on strong trailer engagement and premium-format demand. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after its July 31 debut generated franchise records and over $2 billion globally, yet its already-realized performance leaves less room for further upside compared with Doomsday’s still-building momentum. Later-year titles such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds, reflecting lower anticipated opening-week scale despite November and December slots.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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