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icon for Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?
Politik·Umfrage

Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?

icon for Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?
Politik·Umfrage

Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?

Polymarket
NEU
Polymarket
NEU
icon for Demokraten

Demokraten

$1 Vol.

68%

icon for Republikaner

Republikaner

$0 Vol.

47%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Hispanic men shifting back toward Democrats in the 2026 generic congressional ballot, with leads of around 20 points in some surveys, following Donald Trump's 10-point edge among the group in 2024. Trader consensus at 68.5% for Democrats over 45% for Republicans reflects this movement, driven primarily by dissatisfaction with economic conditions and cost-of-living pressures under the current administration. Trump's approval among Latino men has fallen sharply to net negative territory around -41 points, with notable regret among some 2024 Republican voters and rising potential defection. Overall Latino registered voters also lean Democratic by double digits in multiple national samples, though both parties trail prior midterm benchmarks amid high undecided shares. Key catalysts include inflation concerns topping voter priorities ahead of the November 3 contests.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$1
Enddatum
6. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Hispanic men shifting back toward Democrats in the 2026 generic congressional ballot, with leads of around 20 points in some surveys, following Donald Trump's 10-point edge among the group in 2024. Trader consensus at 68.5% for Democrats over 45% for Republicans reflects this movement, driven primarily by dissatisfaction with economic conditions and cost-of-living pressures under the current administration. Trump's approval among Latino men has fallen sharply to net negative territory around -41 points, with notable regret among some 2024 Republican voters and rising potential defection. Overall Latino registered voters also lean Democratic by double digits in multiple national samples, though both parties trail prior midterm benchmarks amid high undecided shares. Key catalysts include inflation concerns topping voter priorities ahead of the November 3 contests.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$1
Enddatum
6. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Verwandte

icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen junge Männer gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen junge Männer gewinnen?

71%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen ältere Frauen gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen ältere Frauen gewinnen?

47%
Ja
icon for Werden die Republikaner 12–13 % der schwarzen Stimmen gewinnen?

Werden die Republikaner 12–13 % der schwarzen Stimmen gewinnen?

45%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokraten" mit 68%, gefolgt von „Republikaner" mit 47%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 68¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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