Amid US-Iran tensions escalated by recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, Pakistan mediated a two-week ceasefire effective around April 8, prompting initial high-level talks in Islamabad starting April 10. US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in over 20 hours of negotiations, but impasse persisted over frozen assets, Hormuz shipping, and regional fronts like Lebanon. With the ceasefire expiring April 21, US officials are discussing a second face-to-face round—potentially hosted by Pakistan again—while President Trump signaled possible resumption within days, heightening prospects for diplomatic meetings by April 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$102,614 Vol.

Donald Trump
7%

J.D. Vance
75%

Marco Rubio
8%

Jared Kushner
73%

Steve Witkoff
82%
$102,614 Vol.

Donald Trump
7%

J.D. Vance
75%

Marco Rubio
8%

Jared Kushner
73%

Steve Witkoff
82%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid US-Iran tensions escalated by recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, Pakistan mediated a two-week ceasefire effective around April 8, prompting initial high-level talks in Islamabad starting April 10. US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in over 20 hours of negotiations, but impasse persisted over frozen assets, Hormuz shipping, and regional fronts like Lebanon. With the ceasefire expiring April 21, US officials are discussing a second face-to-face round—potentially hosted by Pakistan again—while President Trump signaled possible resumption within days, heightening prospects for diplomatic meetings by April 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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