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icon for Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?

Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?

icon for Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?

Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$772 Vol.

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$772 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**100 Thieves’ primary rosters across VALORANT, Counter-Strike 2, and other divisions stabilized well ahead of September 2026, driving the strong trader consensus against any further moves before the deadline.** The organization completed its major VALORANT rebuild by November 2025 (retaining Asuna and Cryocells while adding Bang, vora, and Timotino under coach Nbs) and locked in its CS2 lineup after the June 29 benching of Ag1l and subsequent July 1 adjustments that added Gizmy. Apex Legends saw its last reported transaction in mid-August, while Rainbow Six Siege changes occurred in May. With no official announcements, credible rumors, or late-August activity across main divisions—and esports roster windows typically closing earlier in the summer—traders view additional shifts as highly improbable in the final hours. Edge-case scenarios such as an unforeseen injury, contract dispute, or emergency replacement could still force a move, but the absence of any supporting signals keeps the implied probability of “No” near-certain.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count.

A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$772
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**100 Thieves’ primary rosters across VALORANT, Counter-Strike 2, and other divisions stabilized well ahead of September 2026, driving the strong trader consensus against any further moves before the deadline.** The organization completed its major VALORANT rebuild by November 2025 (retaining Asuna and Cryocells while adding Bang, vora, and Timotino under coach Nbs) and locked in its CS2 lineup after the June 29 benching of Ag1l and subsequent July 1 adjustments that added Gizmy. Apex Legends saw its last reported transaction in mid-August, while Rainbow Six Siege changes occurred in May. With no official announcements, credible rumors, or late-August activity across main divisions—and esports roster windows typically closing earlier in the summer—traders view additional shifts as highly improbable in the final hours. Edge-case scenarios such as an unforeseen injury, contract dispute, or emergency replacement could still force a move, but the absence of any supporting signals keeps the implied probability of “No” near-certain.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count.

A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 0% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 0¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 0%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?" liegt bei 0% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 0% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Werden 100 Diebe vor September eine Kaderänderung vornehmen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.