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icon for Wird AOC vor 2028 eine Kandidatur für den Senat oder den Präsidenten ankündigen?
Politik·Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Wird AOC vor 2028 eine Kandidatur für den Senat oder den Präsidenten ankündigen?

icon for Wird AOC vor 2028 eine Kandidatur für den Senat oder den Präsidenten ankündigen?
Politik·Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Wird AOC vor 2028 eine Kandidatur für den Senat oder den Präsidenten ankündigen?

Präsident 57%

Senat 34%

Keine von beiden 8%

Polymarket
NEU

Präsident 57%

Senat 34%

Keine von beiden 8%

Polymarket
NEU

Präsident

$151 Vol.

57%

Senat

$472 Vol.

34%

Keine von beiden

$331 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has kept both options open without a formal announcement, telling ABC News in August 2026 that she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid or a Senate challenge to Chuck Schumer while focusing on the midterms. Her team has positioned her for either path since at least 2025, and she leads or ranks near the top in early 2028 Democratic presidential nominee markets. Trader consensus assigns higher probability to a presidential announcement because her national profile, progressive endorsements, and polling in early states like New Hampshire reflect broader visibility than a New York Senate primary would. A Senate run remains plausible given Schumer’s seat opening, yet the lower Senate price reflects the greater institutional and fundraising hurdles of that contest before 2028.

This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.

If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$954
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has kept both options open without a formal announcement, telling ABC News in August 2026 that she has not ruled out a 2028 presidential bid or a Senate challenge to Chuck Schumer while focusing on the midterms. Her team has positioned her for either path since at least 2025, and she leads or ranks near the top in early 2028 Democratic presidential nominee markets. Trader consensus assigns higher probability to a presidential announcement because her national profile, progressive endorsements, and polling in early states like New Hampshire reflect broader visibility than a New York Senate primary would. A Senate run remains plausible given Schumer’s seat opening, yet the lower Senate price reflects the greater institutional and fundraising hurdles of that contest before 2028.

This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.

If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$954
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Andy Beshear der erste aufgeführte Demokrat sein, der eine Kandidatur für das Präsidentenamt 2028 ankündigt?

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30%
Ja
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Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

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Wird Gavin Newsom vor 2027 eine Kandidatur für das Präsidentenamt ankündigen?

13%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird AOC vor 2028 eine Kandidatur für den Senat oder den Präsidenten ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Präsident" mit 57%, gefolgt von „Senat" mit 34%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 57¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 57% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wird AOC vor 2028 eine Kandidatur für den Senat oder den Präsidenten ankündigen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird AOC vor 2028 eine Kandidatur für den Senat oder den Präsidenten ankündigen?" ist „Präsident" mit 57%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 57% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Senat" mit 34%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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