Nongshim RedForce's official mid-season LCK roster swap on April 30—trading starting ADC Taeyoon to BNK FearX for promising bot laner Diable—has driven the 86.5% implied probability on "Yes," reflecting trader consensus that this constitutes a clear change to their active League of Legends lineup before July. The move follows a middling 2026 Rounds 1-2 start at roughly 50% win rate (9-11 game differential), including a decisive 0-2 loss to Gen.G last week that exposed bot lane inconsistencies against top teams. With Diable debuting soon pending final LCK processing, the swap addresses recent form struggles in a competitive LCK table where playoff positioning demands quick adjustments via trades or buyouts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$293 Vol.
$293 Vol.
$293 Vol.
$293 Vol.
As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Kingen, Sponge, Calix, Scout, Taeyoon, and Lehends. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Nongshim_RedForceResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Kingen, Sponge, Calix, Scout, Taeyoon, and Lehends. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Nongshim_RedForceResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Nongshim RedForce's official mid-season LCK roster swap on April 30—trading starting ADC Taeyoon to BNK FearX for promising bot laner Diable—has driven the 86.5% implied probability on "Yes," reflecting trader consensus that this constitutes a clear change to their active League of Legends lineup before July. The move follows a middling 2026 Rounds 1-2 start at roughly 50% win rate (9-11 game differential), including a decisive 0-2 loss to Gen.G last week that exposed bot lane inconsistencies against top teams. With Diable debuting soon pending final LCK processing, the swap addresses recent form struggles in a competitive LCK table where playoff positioning demands quick adjustments via trades or buyouts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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