Trader consensus prices a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump issuing a federal pardon to Tiger Woods by June 30, driven primarily by the golfer's March 27 Florida DUI arrest stemming from a rollover crash—a state misdemeanor ineligible for presidential clemency, which applies only to federal offenses. Woods, battling chronic back injuries that sidelined him through the 2025 PGA Tour season, pleaded not guilty, revealed hydrocodone possession per the affidavit, and announced he's stepping away from competitive golf, including the upcoming Masters at Augusta National, to prioritize treatment. Despite Trump's sympathetic comments framing Woods' challenges as a "life of pain" from injury history and a debunked viral claim of pardon advocacy, no federal charges or White House signals have emerged to shift market sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIf it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 90.5% implied probability against President Trump issuing a federal pardon to Tiger Woods by June 30, driven primarily by the golfer's March 27 Florida DUI arrest stemming from a rollover crash—a state misdemeanor ineligible for presidential clemency, which applies only to federal offenses. Woods, battling chronic back injuries that sidelined him through the 2025 PGA Tour season, pleaded not guilty, revealed hydrocodone possession per the affidavit, and announced he's stepping away from competitive golf, including the upcoming Masters at Augusta National, to prioritize treatment. Despite Trump's sympathetic comments framing Woods' challenges as a "life of pain" from injury history and a debunked viral claim of pardon advocacy, no federal charges or White House signals have emerged to shift market sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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