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WM-Finale: US-Zuschauer

icon for WM-Finale: US-Zuschauer

WM-Finale: US-Zuschauer

58m+ 23%

54m-58m 21%

38m-42m 12%

46m-50m 12%

Polymarket
NEU

58m+ 23%

54m-58m 21%

38m-42m 12%

46m-50m 12%

Polymarket
NEU

<30m

$86 Vol.

4%

30m-34m

$260 Vol.

3%

34m-38m

$656 Vol.

7%

38m-42m

$474 Vol.

12%

42m-46m

$249 Vol.

8%

46m-50m

$70 Vol.

12%

50m-54m

$385 Vol.

8%

54m-58m

$3,908 Vol.

21%

58m+

$492 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
Volumen
$6,581
Enddatum
19. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
Volumen
$6,581
Enddatum
19. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„WM-Finale: US-Zuschauer" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „58m+" mit 23%, gefolgt von „54m-58m" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 23¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„WM-Finale: US-Zuschauer" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 16, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „WM-Finale: US-Zuschauer" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „WM-Finale: US-Zuschauer" ist „58m+" mit 23%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „54m-58m" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „WM-Finale: US-Zuschauer" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.