**Trader consensus in the World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation market reflects the wide gap in AFC squad depth and recent qualifying form heading into the expanded 2026 tournament.** Other leads at 50% as traders price in the realistic chance that a lower-ranked or surprise qualifier outside the listed sides finishes last among Asian nations, consistent with historical patterns where mid-tier teams struggle in tough groups. Iran sits at 32% amid its strong qualifying campaign that included topping its group and recent results like draws and wins against Uzbekistan and North Korea, yet faces questions over an aging roster in a potentially challenging draw. Jordan at 27.5% and Saudi Arabia at 26.5% draw support from mixed qualifying outcomes, including Jordan’s notable upset victory over Saudi Arabia, while Iraq, Qatar, and Uzbekistan hover near 21-24.5% on the back of inconsistent results and lower FIFA rankings. Established powers Japan, Australia, and South Korea remain at 20.5-22.5%, viewed as unlikely to finish bottom given deeper squads and stronger recent head-to-head records. These probabilities embed the wisdom of crowds assessing group difficulty, travel, and current momentum rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIran 32%
Jordan 28%
Saudi Arabia 27%
Iraq 25%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
Australia
21%
Iran
32%
Iraq
25%
Japan
22%
Jordan
28%
Qatar
22%
Saudi Arabia
27%
South Korea
21%
Uzbekistan
22%
Iran 32%
Jordan 28%
Saudi Arabia 27%
Iraq 25%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
Australia
$0 Vol.
21%
Iran
$0 Vol.
32%
Iraq
$0 Vol.
25%
Japan
$0 Vol.
22%
Jordan
$0 Vol.
28%
Qatar
$0 Vol.
22%
Saudi Arabia
$0 Vol.
27%
South Korea
$0 Vol.
21%
Uzbekistan
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus in the World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation market reflects the wide gap in AFC squad depth and recent qualifying form heading into the expanded 2026 tournament.** Other leads at 50% as traders price in the realistic chance that a lower-ranked or surprise qualifier outside the listed sides finishes last among Asian nations, consistent with historical patterns where mid-tier teams struggle in tough groups. Iran sits at 32% amid its strong qualifying campaign that included topping its group and recent results like draws and wins against Uzbekistan and North Korea, yet faces questions over an aging roster in a potentially challenging draw. Jordan at 27.5% and Saudi Arabia at 26.5% draw support from mixed qualifying outcomes, including Jordan’s notable upset victory over Saudi Arabia, while Iraq, Qatar, and Uzbekistan hover near 21-24.5% on the back of inconsistent results and lower FIFA rankings. Established powers Japan, Australia, and South Korea remain at 20.5-22.5%, viewed as unlikely to finish bottom given deeper squads and stronger recent head-to-head records. These probabilities embed the wisdom of crowds assessing group difficulty, travel, and current momentum rather than guaranteed outcomes.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus in the World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation market reflects the wide gap in AFC squad depth and recent qualifying form heading into the expanded 2026 tournament.** Other leads at 50% as traders price in the realistic chance that a lower-ranked or surprise qualifier outside the listed sides finishes last among Asian nations, consistent with historical patterns where mid-tier teams struggle in tough groups. Iran sits at 32% amid its strong qualifying campaign that included topping its group and recent results like draws and wins against Uzbekistan and North Korea, yet faces questions over an aging roster in a potentially challenging draw. Jordan at 27.5% and Saudi Arabia at 26.5% draw support from mixed qualifying outcomes, including Jordan’s notable upset victory over Saudi Arabia, while Iraq, Qatar, and Uzbekistan hover near 21-24.5% on the back of inconsistent results and lower FIFA rankings. Established powers Japan, Australia, and South Korea remain at 20.5-22.5%, viewed as unlikely to finish bottom given deeper squads and stronger recent head-to-head records. These probabilities embed the wisdom of crowds assessing group difficulty, travel, and current momentum rather than guaranteed outcomes.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation market reflects the wide gap in AFC squad depth and recent qualifying form heading into the expanded 2026 tournament.** Other leads at 50% as traders price in the realistic chance that a lower-ranked or surprise qualifier outside the listed sides finishes last among Asian nations, consistent with historical patterns where mid-tier teams struggle in tough groups. Iran sits at 32% amid its strong qualifying campaign that included topping its group and recent results like draws and wins against Uzbekistan and North Korea, yet faces questions over an aging roster in a potentially challenging draw. Jordan at 27.5% and Saudi Arabia at 26.5% draw support from mixed qualifying outcomes, including Jordan’s notable upset victory over Saudi Arabia, while Iraq, Qatar, and Uzbekistan hover near 21-24.5% on the back of inconsistent results and lower FIFA rankings. Established powers Japan, Australia, and South Korea remain at 20.5-22.5%, viewed as unlikely to finish bottom given deeper squads and stronger recent head-to-head records. These probabilities embed the wisdom of crowds assessing group difficulty, travel, and current momentum rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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