Anon

$4.15

Positionen Wert

—

Größter Gewinn

Prognosen

Gewinn/Verlust

-$4.50

Letzter Tag

Aktuell

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Yes 48.17%

1.9 Anteile

48.17%

49.5%

$0.96$0.03 (2.73%)

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Yes 48.17%

1.9 Anteile

$0.96$0.03 (2.73%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 29%

3.0 Anteile

29%

28.49%

$0.85-$0.02 (-1.75%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 29%

3.0 Anteile

$0.85-$0.02 (-1.75%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Yes 27%

2.3 Anteile

27%

33.5%

$0.77$0.15 (24.06%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Yes 27%

2.3 Anteile

$0.77$0.15 (24.06%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 20%

5.0 Anteile

20%

13.5%

$0.68-$0.32 (-32.49%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 20%

5.0 Anteile

$0.68-$0.32 (-32.49%)

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Yes 43.01%

1.4 Anteile

43.01%

43.9%

$0.63$0.01 (2.04%)

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Yes 43.01%

1.4 Anteile

$0.63$0.01 (2.04%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Yes 56.99%

1.0 Anteile

56.99%

57.5%

$0.57$0.00 (0.86%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Yes 56.99%

1.0 Anteile

$0.57$0.00 (0.86%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56%

0.6 Anteile

56%

56.49%

$0.33$0.00 (0.83%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56%

0.6 Anteile

$0.33$0.00 (0.83%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 33%

1.0 Anteile

33%

33.5%

$0.33$0.00 (1.5%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 33%

1.0 Anteile

$0.33$0.00 (1.5%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes 22.11%

1.2 Anteile

22.11%

22.5%

$0.26$0.00 (1.69%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes 22.11%

1.2 Anteile

$0.26$0.00 (1.69%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Yes 26.99%

0.9 Anteile

26.99%

27%

$0.25$0.00 (-0%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Yes 26.99%

0.9 Anteile

$0.25$0.00 (-0%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Yes 45.99%

0.5 Anteile

45.99%

43.5%

$0.23-$0.01 (-5.42%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Yes 45.99%

0.5 Anteile

$0.23-$0.01 (-5.42%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Yes 55.99%

0.3 Anteile

55.99%

50.5%

$0.13-$0.01 (-9.8%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Yes 55.99%

0.3 Anteile

$0.13-$0.01 (-9.8%)

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 19%

0.7 Anteile

19%

17.8%

$0.12-$0.01 (-6.26%)

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 19%

0.7 Anteile

$0.12-$0.01 (-6.26%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Yes 23%

0.5 Anteile

23%

21.5%

$0.11-$0.01 (-6.52%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Yes 23%

0.5 Anteile

$0.11-$0.01 (-6.52%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Yes 33%

0.4 Anteile

33%

23.5%

$0.08-$0.03 (-28.76%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Yes 33%

0.4 Anteile

$0.08-$0.03 (-28.76%)

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 29.99%

0.1 Anteile

29.99%

30.5%

$0.03$0.00 (1.32%)

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 29.99%

0.1 Anteile

$0.03$0.00 (1.32%)