Trader consensus prices a draw at 48.5% as the likeliest outcome in this closely contested FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 6 clash, reflecting the double round-robin format's high draw rates among elite grandmasters. Praggnanandhaa R edges as favorite at 40% over Hikaru Nakamura's 30% due to superior current form—tied for third at 2.5/5 with a Round 1 win over Giri and recent draws, including Round 5 vs. Esipenko—contrasting Nakamura's slump at 1.5/5, marked by Round 5 loss to leader Sindarov (4.5/5) in a Queen's Gambit Declined where a 67-minute think on move 13 led to inaccuracy, plus an opening-round defeat to Caruana. Nakamura holds white and historical head-to-head advantage, but recent preparation lapses temper expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a draw at 48.5% as the likeliest outcome in this closely contested FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 6 clash, reflecting the double round-robin format's high draw rates among elite grandmasters. Praggnanandhaa R edges as favorite at 40% over Hikaru Nakamura's 30% due to superior current form—tied for third at 2.5/5 with a Round 1 win over Giri and recent draws, including Round 5 vs. Esipenko—contrasting Nakamura's slump at 1.5/5, marked by Round 5 loss to leader Sindarov (4.5/5) in a Queen's Gambit Declined where a 67-minute think on move 13 led to inaccuracy, plus an opening-round defeat to Caruana. Nakamura holds white and historical head-to-head advantage, but recent preparation lapses temper expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen