Zhu Jiner holds a slim market edge at 29.5% implied probability as the top-rated entrant at 2578 Elo, bolstered by back-to-back round 4-5 victories over Divya Deshmukh and Vaishali Rameshbabu to reach 3/5 points in the double round-robin FIDE Women's Candidates. Kateryna Lagno (27%) and Bibisara Assaubayeva (27.5%) trail closely after Lagno's pivotal round 5 defeat of Assaubayeva, who had stunned Zhu in round 3 but slipped to 2.5 points; Aleksandra Goryachkina sits steady at 2.5. With nine rounds remaining and Anna Muzychuk (replacement for withdrawn Humpy Koneru) also at 3 points, early volatility and frequent draws keep the eight-player field tightly contested, reflecting trader caution in this challenger's tournament for the Women's World Championship.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoZhu Jiner 33%
Kateryna Lagno 20%
Tan Zhongyi 18%
Bibisara Assaubayeva 17%
Zhu Jiner
33%
Kateryna Lagno
27%
Tan Zhongyi
18%
Bibisara Assaubayeva
25%
Aleksandra Goryachkina
21%
Vaishali R
10%
Divya Deshmukh
8%
Humpy Koneru
1%
Zhu Jiner 33%
Kateryna Lagno 20%
Tan Zhongyi 18%
Bibisara Assaubayeva 17%
Zhu Jiner
33%
Kateryna Lagno
27%
Tan Zhongyi
18%
Bibisara Assaubayeva
25%
Aleksandra Goryachkina
21%
Vaishali R
10%
Divya Deshmukh
8%
Humpy Koneru
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zhu Jiner holds a slim market edge at 29.5% implied probability as the top-rated entrant at 2578 Elo, bolstered by back-to-back round 4-5 victories over Divya Deshmukh and Vaishali Rameshbabu to reach 3/5 points in the double round-robin FIDE Women's Candidates. Kateryna Lagno (27%) and Bibisara Assaubayeva (27.5%) trail closely after Lagno's pivotal round 5 defeat of Assaubayeva, who had stunned Zhu in round 3 but slipped to 2.5 points; Aleksandra Goryachkina sits steady at 2.5. With nine rounds remaining and Anna Muzychuk (replacement for withdrawn Humpy Koneru) also at 3 points, early volatility and frequent draws keep the eight-player field tightly contested, reflecting trader caution in this challenger's tournament for the Women's World Championship.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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