Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability for the 2026 NBA Championship after sweeping the Suns in the first round of the playoffs, showcasing efficient offense, bench depth, and a 25-11 postseason record for coach Mark Daigneault, positioning them to repeat as champions amid a favorable Western Conference path. San Antonio Spurs hold 20.8% following their 4-1 series win over the Trail Blazers—their first playoff series victory since 2017—with Victor Wembanyama's return from concussion protocol yielding 27 points and 12 rebounds in Game 4, fueling momentum toward a potential Thunder matchup in the Western Conference finals. Boston Celtics at 8.6% reflect their steady East contention despite defensive lapses, while Knicks (5.1%) and Cavaliers (4.0%) gain from home-court edges in ongoing series, though West dominance tempers Eastern hopes amid injury uncertainties and back-to-back scheduling strains.