Arizona, Michigan, and Duke top trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title at 27%, 24%, and 23% implied probabilities entering Elite Eight weekend, with odds tightly clustered due to their status as No. 1 seeds in the West, Midwest, and East regions who dominated the first two rounds on lightly tested paths. These juggernauts—boasting 33-3, 34-2, and 32-2 records—advanced via decisive Sweet 16 victories Friday, preserving key players' health amid chalky early brackets that saw few upsets. Illinois lingers at 12% as a gritty No. 3 seed in the South after upending higher seeds, while UConn and Purdue represent 2-seed threats today versus Arizona and in other matchups. Momentum, neutral-site familiarity, and stylistic edges keep the Final Four race wide open.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArizona 26.7%
Michigan 24%
Duke 23%
Illinois 12.0%
$22,015,395 Vol.
$22,015,395 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
24%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
5%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
3%
Iowa
2%
Arizona 26.7%
Michigan 24%
Duke 23%
Illinois 12.0%
$22,015,395 Vol.
$22,015,395 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
24%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
5%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
3%
Iowa
2%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona, Michigan, and Duke top trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title at 27%, 24%, and 23% implied probabilities entering Elite Eight weekend, with odds tightly clustered due to their status as No. 1 seeds in the West, Midwest, and East regions who dominated the first two rounds on lightly tested paths. These juggernauts—boasting 33-3, 34-2, and 32-2 records—advanced via decisive Sweet 16 victories Friday, preserving key players' health amid chalky early brackets that saw few upsets. Illinois lingers at 12% as a gritty No. 3 seed in the South after upending higher seeds, while UConn and Purdue represent 2-seed threats today versus Arizona and in other matchups. Momentum, neutral-site familiarity, and stylistic edges keep the Final Four race wide open.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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