The incumbent People's Party (PP) under regional president Juanma Moreno secured a commanding position in the Andalusia regional election market through consistent pre-election polling leads of 10–15 points over the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE-A), driven by voter approval of economic management and the opposition's fragmentation. The May 17, 2026, vote confirmed this trajectory, with PP projected for the largest share of the 109 parliamentary seats amid PSOE-A's historic decline and limited gains by Vox or minor parties. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major campaign disruptions. A full recount, late certification disputes, or unexpected coalition realignments could theoretically alter the outcome, though current vote counts make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPP 100.0%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$169,900 Vol.
$169,900 Vol.
17 may 2026
PP
Yes
PSOE-A
No
VOX
No
PA
No
AA
No
PP 100.0%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$169,900 Vol.
$169,900 Vol.
17 may 2026
PP
$60,462 Vol.
Yes
PSOE-A
$63,033 Vol.
No
VOX
$36,234 Vol.
No
PA
$5,745 Vol.
No
AA
$4,426 Vol.
No
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The incumbent People's Party (PP) under regional president Juanma Moreno secured a commanding position in the Andalusia regional election market through consistent pre-election polling leads of 10–15 points over the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE-A), driven by voter approval of economic management and the opposition's fragmentation. The May 17, 2026, vote confirmed this trajectory, with PP projected for the largest share of the 109 parliamentary seats amid PSOE-A's historic decline and limited gains by Vox or minor parties. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major campaign disruptions. A full recount, late certification disputes, or unexpected coalition realignments could theoretically alter the outcome, though current vote counts make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volumen
$169,900Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The incumbent People's Party (PP) under regional president Juanma Moreno secured a commanding position in the Andalusia regional election market through consistent pre-election polling leads of 10–15 points over the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE-A), driven by voter approval of economic management and the opposition's fragmentation. The May 17, 2026, vote confirmed this trajectory, with PP projected for the largest share of the 109 parliamentary seats amid PSOE-A's historic decline and limited gains by Vox or minor parties. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major campaign disruptions. A full recount, late certification disputes, or unexpected coalition realignments could theoretically alter the outcome, though current vote counts make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Volumen
$169,900Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
The incumbent People's Party (PP) under regional president Juanma Moreno secured a commanding position in the Andalusia regional election market through consistent pre-election polling leads of 10–15 points over the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE-A), driven by voter approval of economic management and the opposition's fragmentation. The May 17, 2026, vote confirmed this trajectory, with PP projected for the largest share of the 109 parliamentary seats amid PSOE-A's historic decline and limited gains by Vox or minor parties. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major campaign disruptions. A full recount, late certification disputes, or unexpected coalition realignments could theoretically alter the outcome, though current vote counts make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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