Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 27.2% implied probability, driven by his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich featuring exceptional goal tallies, Bundesliga and domestic cup triumphs, and consistent all-around contributions as a striker. Ousmane Dembélé follows at 18.1% amid strong PSG performances and prior recognition, while Lamine Yamal sits at 15.0% on the strength of his Barcelona form and rapid rise. Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and others trail with lower shares reflecting solid but less dominant club outputs. With the 2026 World Cup approaching, national team results and standout tournament showings among contenders like Kane, Dembélé, and Yamal remain pivotal differentiators in this wide-open race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador delBalón de Oro 2026
Ganador delBalón de Oro 2026
Harry Kane 27.2%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Vitinha 10.0%
$3,926,741 Vol.
$3,926,741 Vol.
31 oct 2026
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
18%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Vitinha
10%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Bruno Fernandes
5%
Michael Olise
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martínez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 27.2%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Vitinha 10.0%
$3,926,741 Vol.
$3,926,741 Vol.
31 oct 2026
Harry Kane
$732,171 Vol.
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
$494,622 Vol.
18%
Lamine Yamal
$92,358 Vol.
15%
Vitinha
$69,861 Vol.
10%
Kylian Mbappé
$151,063 Vol.
10%
Bruno Fernandes
$52,674 Vol.
5%
Michael Olise
$99,642 Vol.
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$82,154 Vol.
3%
Declan Rice
$76,267 Vol.
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$66,534 Vol.
2%
Erling Haaland
$275,747 Vol.
2%
Lautaro Martínez
$50,578 Vol.
1%
Raphinha
$44,777 Vol.
1%
Vinícius Júnior
$479,437 Vol.
1%
Achraf Hakimi
$33,660 Vol.
1%
Pedri
$289,692 Vol.
1%
Desire Doue
$40,093 Vol.
1%
Luis Díaz
$45,672 Vol.
<1%
Julián Álvarez
$36,358 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$277,720 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$77,118 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$44,380 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$242,464 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$71,893 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 27.2% implied probability, driven by his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich featuring exceptional goal tallies, Bundesliga and domestic cup triumphs, and consistent all-around contributions as a striker. Ousmane Dembélé follows at 18.1% amid strong PSG performances and prior recognition, while Lamine Yamal sits at 15.0% on the strength of his Barcelona form and rapid rise. Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and others trail with lower shares reflecting solid but less dominant club outputs. With the 2026 World Cup approaching, national team results and standout tournament showings among contenders like Kane, Dembélé, and Yamal remain pivotal differentiators in this wide-open race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$3,926,741Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 27.2% implied probability, driven by his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich featuring exceptional goal tallies, Bundesliga and domestic cup triumphs, and consistent all-around contributions as a striker. Ousmane Dembélé follows at 18.1% amid strong PSG performances and prior recognition, while Lamine Yamal sits at 15.0% on the strength of his Barcelona form and rapid rise. Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and others trail with lower shares reflecting solid but less dominant club outputs. With the 2026 World Cup approaching, national team results and standout tournament showings among contenders like Kane, Dembélé, and Yamal remain pivotal differentiators in this wide-open race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volumen
$3,926,741Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 27.2% implied probability, driven by his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich featuring exceptional goal tallies, Bundesliga and domestic cup triumphs, and consistent all-around contributions as a striker. Ousmane Dembélé follows at 18.1% amid strong PSG performances and prior recognition, while Lamine Yamal sits at 15.0% on the strength of his Barcelona form and rapid rise. Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and others trail with lower shares reflecting solid but less dominant club outputs. With the 2026 World Cup approaching, national team results and standout tournament showings among contenders like Kane, Dembélé, and Yamal remain pivotal differentiators in this wide-open race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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