Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 26.9% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals in 51 matches to claim the Bundesliga Golden Shoe, another league title, and the DFB-Pokal. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his continued elite output at Barcelona and status as a generational talent, while reigning winner Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) benefits from PSG consistency. Michael Olise and Vitinha follow on strong club campaigns. With the World Cup looming as the decisive stage, Kane’s domestic dominance gives him the edge in current pricing, though standout tournament performances could rapidly shift the wide-open field among these leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador delBalón de Oro 2026
Ganador delBalón de Oro 2026
Harry Kane 26.9%
Lamine Yamal 16%
Ousmane Dembélé 11.3%
Vitinha 9.0%
$4,130,554 Vol.
$4,130,554 Vol.
31 oct 2026
Harry Kane
27%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
11%
Vitinha
9%
Michael Olise
9%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Bruno Fernandes
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martínez
1%
Pedri
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Julián Álvarez
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Raphinha
1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 26.9%
Lamine Yamal 16%
Ousmane Dembélé 11.3%
Vitinha 9.0%
$4,130,554 Vol.
$4,130,554 Vol.
31 oct 2026
Harry Kane
$734,353 Vol.
27%
Lamine Yamal
$95,935 Vol.
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
$543,153 Vol.
11%
Vitinha
$71,119 Vol.
9%
Michael Olise
$103,506 Vol.
9%
Kylian Mbappé
$154,739 Vol.
9%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$75,458 Vol.
5%
Declan Rice
$78,081 Vol.
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$83,757 Vol.
3%
Bruno Fernandes
$55,180 Vol.
3%
Vinícius Júnior
$481,236 Vol.
2%
Erling Haaland
$276,731 Vol.
2%
Lautaro Martínez
$50,990 Vol.
1%
Pedri
$290,660 Vol.
1%
Achraf Hakimi
$36,245 Vol.
1%
Julián Álvarez
$43,422 Vol.
1%
Desire Doue
$40,536 Vol.
1%
Raphinha
$44,807 Vol.
1%
Luis Díaz
$45,944 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$267,181 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$329,108 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$99,110 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$44,492 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$84,853 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 26.9% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals in 51 matches to claim the Bundesliga Golden Shoe, another league title, and the DFB-Pokal. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his continued elite output at Barcelona and status as a generational talent, while reigning winner Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) benefits from PSG consistency. Michael Olise and Vitinha follow on strong club campaigns. With the World Cup looming as the decisive stage, Kane’s domestic dominance gives him the edge in current pricing, though standout tournament performances could rapidly shift the wide-open field among these leaders.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$4,130,554Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 26.9% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals in 51 matches to claim the Bundesliga Golden Shoe, another league title, and the DFB-Pokal. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his continued elite output at Barcelona and status as a generational talent, while reigning winner Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) benefits from PSG consistency. Michael Olise and Vitinha follow on strong club campaigns. With the World Cup looming as the decisive stage, Kane’s domestic dominance gives him the edge in current pricing, though standout tournament performances could rapidly shift the wide-open field among these leaders.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volumen
$4,130,554Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 26.9% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals in 51 matches to claim the Bundesliga Golden Shoe, another league title, and the DFB-Pokal. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his continued elite output at Barcelona and status as a generational talent, while reigning winner Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) benefits from PSG consistency. Michael Olise and Vitinha follow on strong club campaigns. With the World Cup looming as the decisive stage, Kane’s domestic dominance gives him the edge in current pricing, though standout tournament performances could rapidly shift the wide-open field among these leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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