In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoM1
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$670.19K Vol.
Moneyline
$432K Vol.
Map 1 Winner
$228K Vol.
Map Handicap
$6.8K Vol.
Total Maps
$3.6K Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if Heroic and magic play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 2 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$671,315Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...Odd/Even Total Kills
$1.1K Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$0 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if Heroic and magic play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 2 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$671,315Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de Counter-Strike 2 entre magic y Heroic en el PGL, programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET. Es una serie al mejor de 3. El mercado principal es el Series Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde magic tiene un precio actual de 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y Heroic de 0¢ (0%). Más allá del Series Moneyline, los mercados de esports en Polymarket pueden incluir ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.
A día de hoy, el mercado "magic vs. Heroic" ha generado $671.3K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "magic vs. Heroic", comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Series Moneyline (qué equipo gana el partido), Ganadores de Map Individuales (quién gana un map específico de la serie), Handicap de Map (margen de victorias de map) o Total de Maps (over/under en la cantidad de maps jugados). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el moneyline muestra MGC a 100¢ y HERO a 0¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.
Las probabilidades actuales del Series Moneyline para "magic vs. Heroic" muestran a magic a 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y a Heroic a 0¢ (0%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como un rastreador de probabilidades en vivo para el partido de magic vs. Heroic. Las probabilidades del Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicap de map y total de maps se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que se realizan nuevas operaciones. Puedes usar el gráfico para seguir el movimiento de líneas a medida que se acerca la hora del partido — los cambios en las probabilidades a menudo señalan nueva información como cambios de roster, forma reciente o movimientos fuertes de grandes operadores. Consulta las secciones Head to Head, Form Guide y Map Winrate en ciertos enfrentamientos para datos y contexto más profundos. Guarda esta página en favoritos, revisa la sección de comentarios para ver qué dicen otros operadores y usa los filtros de rango de tiempo en el gráfico para revisar cómo han cambiado las probabilidades. Es una ventana gratuita en tiempo real a lo que el mercado espera.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que respaldan sus creencias con dinero real, lo que tiende a producir probabilidades bien calibradas. Con $671.3K operados en "magic vs. Heroic", estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de los participantes activos — similar a cómo las casas de apuestas tradicionales reflejan el dinero profesional y público, pero en un mercado abierto y transparente en el que cualquiera puede participar. Los mercados de predicción tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente a medida que los eventos se acercan a su resolución. Para las estadísticas más recientes, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "magic vs. Heroic", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y finánciala usando criptomonedas, una tarjeta de crédito o débito, o una transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta esté financiada, regresa a esta página y elige un tipo de mercado — Series Moneyline, Ganadores de Map Individuales, Handicap de Map o Total de Maps — selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar (por ejemplo, MGC o HERO en el moneyline), ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada lado en un mercado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para MGC en el Series Moneyline significa que los operadores creen colectivamente que hay aproximadamente un 100% de probabilidad de que magic gane este partido. Si compras acciones de MGC a 100¢ y ganan, recibes $1 por acción — una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si pierden, esas acciones valen $0. La misma lógica se aplica a ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps: un precio más bajo significa un pago potencial más alto pero una menor probabilidad implícita de ser correcto.
El partido de "magic vs. Heroic" está programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET en el PGL. Las operaciones permanecen abiertas y las probabilidades continuarán cambiando a medida que surja nueva información antes del partido. El mercado se resuelve una vez que la serie concluye y los resultados oficiales son confirmados por la fuente de resolución. El momento exacto de la resolución depende de cuántos maps se jueguen en la serie al mejor de 3.
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" tiene 9,139 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten los resultados del partido y discuten novedades como cambios de roster y forma reciente. Desplázate hacia abajo hasta la sección de comentarios para unirte a la conversación. También puedes consultar la pestaña "Principales poseedores" para ver cómo están posicionados los operadores más grandes del mercado, o ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de las operaciones realizadas.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y operar sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados en política, deportes, criptomonedas, finanzas, tecnología, cultura y esports — incluyendo torneos y partidos de League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2 y más. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real respaldadas por dinero real, ofreciendo una alternativa transparente y basada en el mercado a las fuentes de probabilidades tradicionales. Ya seas un operador de esports experimentado o estés comenzando, Polymarket te permite poner tu conocimiento a trabajar.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$0 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$0 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if Heroic and magic play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 2 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$671,315Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de Counter-Strike 2 entre magic y Heroic en el PGL, programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET. Es una serie al mejor de 3. El mercado principal es el Series Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde magic tiene un precio actual de 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y Heroic de 0¢ (0%). Más allá del Series Moneyline, los mercados de esports en Polymarket pueden incluir ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.
A día de hoy, el mercado "magic vs. Heroic" ha generado $671.3K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "magic vs. Heroic", comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Series Moneyline (qué equipo gana el partido), Ganadores de Map Individuales (quién gana un map específico de la serie), Handicap de Map (margen de victorias de map) o Total de Maps (over/under en la cantidad de maps jugados). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el moneyline muestra MGC a 100¢ y HERO a 0¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.
Las probabilidades actuales del Series Moneyline para "magic vs. Heroic" muestran a magic a 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y a Heroic a 0¢ (0%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como un rastreador de probabilidades en vivo para el partido de magic vs. Heroic. Las probabilidades del Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicap de map y total de maps se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que se realizan nuevas operaciones. Puedes usar el gráfico para seguir el movimiento de líneas a medida que se acerca la hora del partido — los cambios en las probabilidades a menudo señalan nueva información como cambios de roster, forma reciente o movimientos fuertes de grandes operadores. Consulta las secciones Head to Head, Form Guide y Map Winrate en ciertos enfrentamientos para datos y contexto más profundos. Guarda esta página en favoritos, revisa la sección de comentarios para ver qué dicen otros operadores y usa los filtros de rango de tiempo en el gráfico para revisar cómo han cambiado las probabilidades. Es una ventana gratuita en tiempo real a lo que el mercado espera.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que respaldan sus creencias con dinero real, lo que tiende a producir probabilidades bien calibradas. Con $671.3K operados en "magic vs. Heroic", estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de los participantes activos — similar a cómo las casas de apuestas tradicionales reflejan el dinero profesional y público, pero en un mercado abierto y transparente en el que cualquiera puede participar. Los mercados de predicción tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente a medida que los eventos se acercan a su resolución. Para las estadísticas más recientes, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "magic vs. Heroic", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y finánciala usando criptomonedas, una tarjeta de crédito o débito, o una transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta esté financiada, regresa a esta página y elige un tipo de mercado — Series Moneyline, Ganadores de Map Individuales, Handicap de Map o Total de Maps — selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar (por ejemplo, MGC o HERO en el moneyline), ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada lado en un mercado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para MGC en el Series Moneyline significa que los operadores creen colectivamente que hay aproximadamente un 100% de probabilidad de que magic gane este partido. Si compras acciones de MGC a 100¢ y ganan, recibes $1 por acción — una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si pierden, esas acciones valen $0. La misma lógica se aplica a ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps: un precio más bajo significa un pago potencial más alto pero una menor probabilidad implícita de ser correcto.
El partido de "magic vs. Heroic" está programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET en el PGL. Las operaciones permanecen abiertas y las probabilidades continuarán cambiando a medida que surja nueva información antes del partido. El mercado se resuelve una vez que la serie concluye y los resultados oficiales son confirmados por la fuente de resolución. El momento exacto de la resolución depende de cuántos maps se jueguen en la serie al mejor de 3.
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" tiene 9,139 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten los resultados del partido y discuten novedades como cambios de roster y forma reciente. Desplázate hacia abajo hasta la sección de comentarios para unirte a la conversación. También puedes consultar la pestaña "Principales poseedores" para ver cómo están posicionados los operadores más grandes del mercado, o ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de las operaciones realizadas.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y operar sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados en política, deportes, criptomonedas, finanzas, tecnología, cultura y esports — incluyendo torneos y partidos de League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2 y más. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real respaldadas por dinero real, ofreciendo una alternativa transparente y basada en el mercado a las fuentes de probabilidades tradicionales. Ya seas un operador de esports experimentado o estés comenzando, Polymarket te permite poner tu conocimiento a trabajar.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$50 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$20 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if Heroic and magic play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 2 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$671,315Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de Counter-Strike 2 entre magic y Heroic en el PGL, programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET. Es una serie al mejor de 3. El mercado principal es el Series Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde magic tiene un precio actual de 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y Heroic de 0¢ (0%). Más allá del Series Moneyline, los mercados de esports en Polymarket pueden incluir ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.
A día de hoy, el mercado "magic vs. Heroic" ha generado $671.3K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "magic vs. Heroic", comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Series Moneyline (qué equipo gana el partido), Ganadores de Map Individuales (quién gana un map específico de la serie), Handicap de Map (margen de victorias de map) o Total de Maps (over/under en la cantidad de maps jugados). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el moneyline muestra MGC a 100¢ y HERO a 0¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.
Las probabilidades actuales del Series Moneyline para "magic vs. Heroic" muestran a magic a 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y a Heroic a 0¢ (0%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como un rastreador de probabilidades en vivo para el partido de magic vs. Heroic. Las probabilidades del Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicap de map y total de maps se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que se realizan nuevas operaciones. Puedes usar el gráfico para seguir el movimiento de líneas a medida que se acerca la hora del partido — los cambios en las probabilidades a menudo señalan nueva información como cambios de roster, forma reciente o movimientos fuertes de grandes operadores. Consulta las secciones Head to Head, Form Guide y Map Winrate en ciertos enfrentamientos para datos y contexto más profundos. Guarda esta página en favoritos, revisa la sección de comentarios para ver qué dicen otros operadores y usa los filtros de rango de tiempo en el gráfico para revisar cómo han cambiado las probabilidades. Es una ventana gratuita en tiempo real a lo que el mercado espera.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que respaldan sus creencias con dinero real, lo que tiende a producir probabilidades bien calibradas. Con $671.3K operados en "magic vs. Heroic", estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de los participantes activos — similar a cómo las casas de apuestas tradicionales reflejan el dinero profesional y público, pero en un mercado abierto y transparente en el que cualquiera puede participar. Los mercados de predicción tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente a medida que los eventos se acercan a su resolución. Para las estadísticas más recientes, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "magic vs. Heroic", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y finánciala usando criptomonedas, una tarjeta de crédito o débito, o una transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta esté financiada, regresa a esta página y elige un tipo de mercado — Series Moneyline, Ganadores de Map Individuales, Handicap de Map o Total de Maps — selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar (por ejemplo, MGC o HERO en el moneyline), ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada lado en un mercado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para MGC en el Series Moneyline significa que los operadores creen colectivamente que hay aproximadamente un 100% de probabilidad de que magic gane este partido. Si compras acciones de MGC a 100¢ y ganan, recibes $1 por acción — una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si pierden, esas acciones valen $0. La misma lógica se aplica a ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps: un precio más bajo significa un pago potencial más alto pero una menor probabilidad implícita de ser correcto.
El partido de "magic vs. Heroic" está programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET en el PGL. Las operaciones permanecen abiertas y las probabilidades continuarán cambiando a medida que surja nueva información antes del partido. El mercado se resuelve una vez que la serie concluye y los resultados oficiales son confirmados por la fuente de resolución. El momento exacto de la resolución depende de cuántos maps se jueguen en la serie al mejor de 3.
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" tiene 9,139 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten los resultados del partido y discuten novedades como cambios de roster y forma reciente. Desplázate hacia abajo hasta la sección de comentarios para unirte a la conversación. También puedes consultar la pestaña "Principales poseedores" para ver cómo están posicionados los operadores más grandes del mercado, o ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de las operaciones realizadas.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y operar sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados en política, deportes, criptomonedas, finanzas, tecnología, cultura y esports — incluyendo torneos y partidos de League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2 y más. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real respaldadas por dinero real, ofreciendo una alternativa transparente y basada en el mercado a las fuentes de probabilidades tradicionales. Ya seas un operador de esports experimentado o estés comenzando, Polymarket te permite poner tu conocimiento a trabajar.
M1
M2
M3
W
L
L
L
W
W
M1
M2
M3
W
L
L
L
W
W
$670.19K Vol.
Moneyline
$432K Vol.
Map 1 Winner
$228K Vol.
Map Handicap
$6.8K Vol.
Total Maps
$3.6K Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if Heroic and magic play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 2 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$671,315Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de Counter-Strike 2 entre magic y Heroic en el PGL, programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET. Es una serie al mejor de 3. El mercado principal es el Series Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde magic tiene un precio actual de 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y Heroic de 0¢ (0%). Más allá del Series Moneyline, los mercados de esports en Polymarket pueden incluir ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.
A día de hoy, el mercado "magic vs. Heroic" ha generado $671.3K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "magic vs. Heroic", comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Series Moneyline (qué equipo gana el partido), Ganadores de Map Individuales (quién gana un map específico de la serie), Handicap de Map (margen de victorias de map) o Total de Maps (over/under en la cantidad de maps jugados). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el moneyline muestra MGC a 100¢ y HERO a 0¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.
Las probabilidades actuales del Series Moneyline para "magic vs. Heroic" muestran a magic a 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y a Heroic a 0¢ (0%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como un rastreador de probabilidades en vivo para el partido de magic vs. Heroic. Las probabilidades del Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicap de map y total de maps se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que se realizan nuevas operaciones. Puedes usar el gráfico para seguir el movimiento de líneas a medida que se acerca la hora del partido — los cambios en las probabilidades a menudo señalan nueva información como cambios de roster, forma reciente o movimientos fuertes de grandes operadores. Consulta las secciones Head to Head, Form Guide y Map Winrate en ciertos enfrentamientos para datos y contexto más profundos. Guarda esta página en favoritos, revisa la sección de comentarios para ver qué dicen otros operadores y usa los filtros de rango de tiempo en el gráfico para revisar cómo han cambiado las probabilidades. Es una ventana gratuita en tiempo real a lo que el mercado espera.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que respaldan sus creencias con dinero real, lo que tiende a producir probabilidades bien calibradas. Con $671.3K operados en "magic vs. Heroic", estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de los participantes activos — similar a cómo las casas de apuestas tradicionales reflejan el dinero profesional y público, pero en un mercado abierto y transparente en el que cualquiera puede participar. Los mercados de predicción tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente a medida que los eventos se acercan a su resolución. Para las estadísticas más recientes, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "magic vs. Heroic", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y finánciala usando criptomonedas, una tarjeta de crédito o débito, o una transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta esté financiada, regresa a esta página y elige un tipo de mercado — Series Moneyline, Ganadores de Map Individuales, Handicap de Map o Total de Maps — selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar (por ejemplo, MGC o HERO en el moneyline), ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada lado en un mercado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para MGC en el Series Moneyline significa que los operadores creen colectivamente que hay aproximadamente un 100% de probabilidad de que magic gane este partido. Si compras acciones de MGC a 100¢ y ganan, recibes $1 por acción — una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si pierden, esas acciones valen $0. La misma lógica se aplica a ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps: un precio más bajo significa un pago potencial más alto pero una menor probabilidad implícita de ser correcto.
El partido de "magic vs. Heroic" está programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET en el PGL. Las operaciones permanecen abiertas y las probabilidades continuarán cambiando a medida que surja nueva información antes del partido. El mercado se resuelve una vez que la serie concluye y los resultados oficiales son confirmados por la fuente de resolución. El momento exacto de la resolución depende de cuántos maps se jueguen en la serie al mejor de 3.
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" tiene 9,139 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten los resultados del partido y discuten novedades como cambios de roster y forma reciente. Desplázate hacia abajo hasta la sección de comentarios para unirte a la conversación. También puedes consultar la pestaña "Principales poseedores" para ver cómo están posicionados los operadores más grandes del mercado, o ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de las operaciones realizadas.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y operar sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados en política, deportes, criptomonedas, finanzas, tecnología, cultura y esports — incluyendo torneos y partidos de League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2 y más. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real respaldadas por dinero real, ofreciendo una alternativa transparente y basada en el mercado a las fuentes de probabilidades tradicionales. Ya seas un operador de esports experimentado o estés comenzando, Polymarket te permite poner tu conocimiento a trabajar.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$1.1K Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$0 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if Heroic and magic play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 2 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$671,315Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de Counter-Strike 2 entre magic y Heroic en el PGL, programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET. Es una serie al mejor de 3. El mercado principal es el Series Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde magic tiene un precio actual de 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y Heroic de 0¢ (0%). Más allá del Series Moneyline, los mercados de esports en Polymarket pueden incluir ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.
A día de hoy, el mercado "magic vs. Heroic" ha generado $671.3K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "magic vs. Heroic", comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Series Moneyline (qué equipo gana el partido), Ganadores de Map Individuales (quién gana un map específico de la serie), Handicap de Map (margen de victorias de map) o Total de Maps (over/under en la cantidad de maps jugados). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el moneyline muestra MGC a 100¢ y HERO a 0¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.
Las probabilidades actuales del Series Moneyline para "magic vs. Heroic" muestran a magic a 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y a Heroic a 0¢ (0%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como un rastreador de probabilidades en vivo para el partido de magic vs. Heroic. Las probabilidades del Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicap de map y total de maps se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que se realizan nuevas operaciones. Puedes usar el gráfico para seguir el movimiento de líneas a medida que se acerca la hora del partido — los cambios en las probabilidades a menudo señalan nueva información como cambios de roster, forma reciente o movimientos fuertes de grandes operadores. Consulta las secciones Head to Head, Form Guide y Map Winrate en ciertos enfrentamientos para datos y contexto más profundos. Guarda esta página en favoritos, revisa la sección de comentarios para ver qué dicen otros operadores y usa los filtros de rango de tiempo en el gráfico para revisar cómo han cambiado las probabilidades. Es una ventana gratuita en tiempo real a lo que el mercado espera.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que respaldan sus creencias con dinero real, lo que tiende a producir probabilidades bien calibradas. Con $671.3K operados en "magic vs. Heroic", estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de los participantes activos — similar a cómo las casas de apuestas tradicionales reflejan el dinero profesional y público, pero en un mercado abierto y transparente en el que cualquiera puede participar. Los mercados de predicción tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente a medida que los eventos se acercan a su resolución. Para las estadísticas más recientes, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "magic vs. Heroic", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y finánciala usando criptomonedas, una tarjeta de crédito o débito, o una transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta esté financiada, regresa a esta página y elige un tipo de mercado — Series Moneyline, Ganadores de Map Individuales, Handicap de Map o Total de Maps — selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar (por ejemplo, MGC o HERO en el moneyline), ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada lado en un mercado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para MGC en el Series Moneyline significa que los operadores creen colectivamente que hay aproximadamente un 100% de probabilidad de que magic gane este partido. Si compras acciones de MGC a 100¢ y ganan, recibes $1 por acción — una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si pierden, esas acciones valen $0. La misma lógica se aplica a ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps: un precio más bajo significa un pago potencial más alto pero una menor probabilidad implícita de ser correcto.
El partido de "magic vs. Heroic" está programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET en el PGL. Las operaciones permanecen abiertas y las probabilidades continuarán cambiando a medida que surja nueva información antes del partido. El mercado se resuelve una vez que la serie concluye y los resultados oficiales son confirmados por la fuente de resolución. El momento exacto de la resolución depende de cuántos maps se jueguen en la serie al mejor de 3.
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" tiene 9,139 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten los resultados del partido y discuten novedades como cambios de roster y forma reciente. Desplázate hacia abajo hasta la sección de comentarios para unirte a la conversación. También puedes consultar la pestaña "Principales poseedores" para ver cómo están posicionados los operadores más grandes del mercado, o ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de las operaciones realizadas.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y operar sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados en política, deportes, criptomonedas, finanzas, tecnología, cultura y esports — incluyendo torneos y partidos de League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2 y más. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real respaldadas por dinero real, ofreciendo una alternativa transparente y basada en el mercado a las fuentes de probabilidades tradicionales. Ya seas un operador de esports experimentado o estés comenzando, Polymarket te permite poner tu conocimiento a trabajar.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$0 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$0 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if Heroic and magic play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 2 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$671,315Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de Counter-Strike 2 entre magic y Heroic en el PGL, programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET. Es una serie al mejor de 3. El mercado principal es el Series Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde magic tiene un precio actual de 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y Heroic de 0¢ (0%). Más allá del Series Moneyline, los mercados de esports en Polymarket pueden incluir ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.
A día de hoy, el mercado "magic vs. Heroic" ha generado $671.3K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "magic vs. Heroic", comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Series Moneyline (qué equipo gana el partido), Ganadores de Map Individuales (quién gana un map específico de la serie), Handicap de Map (margen de victorias de map) o Total de Maps (over/under en la cantidad de maps jugados). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el moneyline muestra MGC a 100¢ y HERO a 0¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.
Las probabilidades actuales del Series Moneyline para "magic vs. Heroic" muestran a magic a 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y a Heroic a 0¢ (0%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como un rastreador de probabilidades en vivo para el partido de magic vs. Heroic. Las probabilidades del Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicap de map y total de maps se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que se realizan nuevas operaciones. Puedes usar el gráfico para seguir el movimiento de líneas a medida que se acerca la hora del partido — los cambios en las probabilidades a menudo señalan nueva información como cambios de roster, forma reciente o movimientos fuertes de grandes operadores. Consulta las secciones Head to Head, Form Guide y Map Winrate en ciertos enfrentamientos para datos y contexto más profundos. Guarda esta página en favoritos, revisa la sección de comentarios para ver qué dicen otros operadores y usa los filtros de rango de tiempo en el gráfico para revisar cómo han cambiado las probabilidades. Es una ventana gratuita en tiempo real a lo que el mercado espera.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que respaldan sus creencias con dinero real, lo que tiende a producir probabilidades bien calibradas. Con $671.3K operados en "magic vs. Heroic", estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de los participantes activos — similar a cómo las casas de apuestas tradicionales reflejan el dinero profesional y público, pero en un mercado abierto y transparente en el que cualquiera puede participar. Los mercados de predicción tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente a medida que los eventos se acercan a su resolución. Para las estadísticas más recientes, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "magic vs. Heroic", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y finánciala usando criptomonedas, una tarjeta de crédito o débito, o una transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta esté financiada, regresa a esta página y elige un tipo de mercado — Series Moneyline, Ganadores de Map Individuales, Handicap de Map o Total de Maps — selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar (por ejemplo, MGC o HERO en el moneyline), ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada lado en un mercado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para MGC en el Series Moneyline significa que los operadores creen colectivamente que hay aproximadamente un 100% de probabilidad de que magic gane este partido. Si compras acciones de MGC a 100¢ y ganan, recibes $1 por acción — una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si pierden, esas acciones valen $0. La misma lógica se aplica a ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps: un precio más bajo significa un pago potencial más alto pero una menor probabilidad implícita de ser correcto.
El partido de "magic vs. Heroic" está programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET en el PGL. Las operaciones permanecen abiertas y las probabilidades continuarán cambiando a medida que surja nueva información antes del partido. El mercado se resuelve una vez que la serie concluye y los resultados oficiales son confirmados por la fuente de resolución. El momento exacto de la resolución depende de cuántos maps se jueguen en la serie al mejor de 3.
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" tiene 9,139 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten los resultados del partido y discuten novedades como cambios de roster y forma reciente. Desplázate hacia abajo hasta la sección de comentarios para unirte a la conversación. También puedes consultar la pestaña "Principales poseedores" para ver cómo están posicionados los operadores más grandes del mercado, o ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de las operaciones realizadas.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y operar sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados en política, deportes, criptomonedas, finanzas, tecnología, cultura y esports — incluyendo torneos y partidos de League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2 y más. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real respaldadas por dinero real, ofreciendo una alternativa transparente y basada en el mercado a las fuentes de probabilidades tradicionales. Ya seas un operador de esports experimentado o estés comenzando, Polymarket te permite poner tu conocimiento a trabajar.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$50 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$20 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if Heroic and magic play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 2 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Heroic.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volumen
$671,315Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes PGL Astana 2026 group stage Swiss round 4 elimination match, #20 HLTV-ranked Heroic faces #40 magic in a BO3 decider, with both squads holding 1-2 records after three matches. Heroic, entering their first major event in months, notched an early 2-0 win over Aurora but suffered shutout losses (0-2) to FURIA and Gentle Mates, exposing CT-side vulnerabilities despite strong historical map edges on Dust2 (65% win rate) and Nuke. Magic, buoyed by a 64% three-month win rate and recent closed qualifier upsets over Gentle Mates and Eternal Fire, dominated K27 2-0 but faltered against MongolZ and Monte. Stable rosters for both—no recent changes—with Heroic's nilo and susp key performers, magic relying on sFade8 and mo0N firepower; winner advances to 2-2, loser eliminated from playoffs contention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de Counter-Strike 2 entre magic y Heroic en el PGL, programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET. Es una serie al mejor de 3. El mercado principal es el Series Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde magic tiene un precio actual de 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y Heroic de 0¢ (0%). Más allá del Series Moneyline, los mercados de esports en Polymarket pueden incluir ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.
A día de hoy, el mercado "magic vs. Heroic" ha generado $671.3K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "magic vs. Heroic", comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Series Moneyline (qué equipo gana el partido), Ganadores de Map Individuales (quién gana un map específico de la serie), Handicap de Map (margen de victorias de map) o Total de Maps (over/under en la cantidad de maps jugados). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el moneyline muestra MGC a 100¢ y HERO a 0¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.
Las probabilidades actuales del Series Moneyline para "magic vs. Heroic" muestran a magic a 100¢ (100% de probabilidad implícita) y a Heroic a 0¢ (0%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como un rastreador de probabilidades en vivo para el partido de magic vs. Heroic. Las probabilidades del Series Moneyline, ganadores de map individuales, handicap de map y total de maps se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que se realizan nuevas operaciones. Puedes usar el gráfico para seguir el movimiento de líneas a medida que se acerca la hora del partido — los cambios en las probabilidades a menudo señalan nueva información como cambios de roster, forma reciente o movimientos fuertes de grandes operadores. Consulta las secciones Head to Head, Form Guide y Map Winrate en ciertos enfrentamientos para datos y contexto más profundos. Guarda esta página en favoritos, revisa la sección de comentarios para ver qué dicen otros operadores y usa los filtros de rango de tiempo en el gráfico para revisar cómo han cambiado las probabilidades. Es una ventana gratuita en tiempo real a lo que el mercado espera.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que respaldan sus creencias con dinero real, lo que tiende a producir probabilidades bien calibradas. Con $671.3K operados en "magic vs. Heroic", estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de los participantes activos — similar a cómo las casas de apuestas tradicionales reflejan el dinero profesional y público, pero en un mercado abierto y transparente en el que cualquiera puede participar. Los mercados de predicción tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente a medida que los eventos se acercan a su resolución. Para las estadísticas más recientes, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "magic vs. Heroic", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y finánciala usando criptomonedas, una tarjeta de crédito o débito, o una transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta esté financiada, regresa a esta página y elige un tipo de mercado — Series Moneyline, Ganadores de Map Individuales, Handicap de Map o Total de Maps — selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar (por ejemplo, MGC o HERO en el moneyline), ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada lado en un mercado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para MGC en el Series Moneyline significa que los operadores creen colectivamente que hay aproximadamente un 100% de probabilidad de que magic gane este partido. Si compras acciones de MGC a 100¢ y ganan, recibes $1 por acción — una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si pierden, esas acciones valen $0. La misma lógica se aplica a ganadores de map individuales, handicaps de map y total de maps: un precio más bajo significa un pago potencial más alto pero una menor probabilidad implícita de ser correcto.
El partido de "magic vs. Heroic" está programado para el May 12, 2026 a las 1:00 AM ET en el PGL. Las operaciones permanecen abiertas y las probabilidades continuarán cambiando a medida que surja nueva información antes del partido. El mercado se resuelve una vez que la serie concluye y los resultados oficiales son confirmados por la fuente de resolución. El momento exacto de la resolución depende de cuántos maps se jueguen en la serie al mejor de 3.
El mercado "magic vs. Heroic" tiene 9,139 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten los resultados del partido y discuten novedades como cambios de roster y forma reciente. Desplázate hacia abajo hasta la sección de comentarios para unirte a la conversación. También puedes consultar la pestaña "Principales poseedores" para ver cómo están posicionados los operadores más grandes del mercado, o ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de las operaciones realizadas.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y operar sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados en política, deportes, criptomonedas, finanzas, tecnología, cultura y esports — incluyendo torneos y partidos de League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2 y más. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real respaldadas por dinero real, ofreciendo una alternativa transparente y basada en el mercado a las fuentes de probabilidades tradicionales. Ya seas un operador de esports experimentado o estés comenzando, Polymarket te permite poner tu conocimiento a trabajar.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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