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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro

icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro

Daniel Ennis 92%

Janice Boylan 9.0%

Gerry Hutch <1%

Malachy Steenson <1%

Polymarket

$4,243,421 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 92%

Janice Boylan 9.0%

Gerry Hutch <1%

Malachy Steenson <1%

Polymarket

$4,243,421 Vol.

Daniel Ennis

$45,310 Vol.

92%

Janice Boylan

$26,474 Vol.

9%

Gerry Hutch

$546,436 Vol.

1%

Malachy Steenson

$27,174 Vol.

1%

Janet Horner

$24,663 Vol.

<1%

Ray McAdam

$39,031 Vol.

<1%

John Stephens

$284,315 Vol.

<1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$1,211,398 Vol.

<1%

Gillian Sherratt

$511,147 Vol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$1,160,497 Vol.

<1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$59,318 Vol.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$308,277 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats leads the Dublin Central by-election market at 84.5 percent, reflecting trader expectations that he will secure the seat through favorable transfers under Ireland’s single transferable vote system. A recent constituency poll showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first preferences at 21 percent to Ennis’s 18 percent, yet multiple left-leaning candidates from Labour, People Before Profit, and the Greens are expected to direct surpluses and lower preferences toward Ennis. Independent Gerry Hutch, polling around 14 percent, trails significantly in the market at 1.5 percent amid questions over his transfer patterns. The by-election, held on 22 May to fill the vacancy created by Paschal Donohoe’s resignation, recorded turnout near 40 percent, with counting underway.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$4,243,421
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats leads the Dublin Central by-election market at 84.5 percent, reflecting trader expectations that he will secure the seat through favorable transfers under Ireland’s single transferable vote system. A recent constituency poll showed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan ahead on first preferences at 21 percent to Ennis’s 18 percent, yet multiple left-leaning candidates from Labour, People Before Profit, and the Greens are expected to direct surpluses and lower preferences toward Ennis. Independent Gerry Hutch, polling around 14 percent, trails significantly in the market at 1.5 percent amid questions over his transfer patterns. The by-election, held on 22 May to fill the vacancy created by Paschal Donohoe’s resignation, recorded turnout near 40 percent, with counting underway.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$4,243,421
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Daniel Ennis" con 92%, seguido de "Janice Boylan" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro" ha generado $4.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro" es "Daniel Ennis" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Janice Boylan" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.