Recent polls for Hungary's April 2026 parliamentary election show TISZA steadily closing the gap on Fidesz-KDNP, with the latest surveys from late November placing Fidesz at 42-47% and TISZA at 28-35% in list vote intention, within striking distance given historical polling volatility and Fidesz's slip from supermajority in 2022. TISZA's momentum stems from its 29% EU Parliament vote share in June, leader Péter Magyar's rallies drawing opposition support, and Fidesz facing backlash over economic stagnation, withheld EU funds, and scandals like the child protection pardon controversy. Traders' consensus—Fidesz-KDNP 65% for second place, TISZA 34.5%—prices in upset potential via the wisdom of crowds, while smaller parties like Mi Hazánk remain marginal; key watch includes sustained polling shifts and any snap election signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Fidesz-KDNP 65%
TISZA 35%
Mi Hazánk <1%
MSZP <1%
$55,914 Vol.
$55,914 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz-KDNP
65%
TISZA
35%
Mi Hazánk
1%
MSZP
1%
Jobbik
<1%
DK
<1%
Momentum
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
LMP
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 65%
TISZA 35%
Mi Hazánk <1%
MSZP <1%
$55,914 Vol.
$55,914 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz-KDNP
$11,207 Vol.
65%
TISZA
$8,165 Vol.
35%
Mi Hazánk
$24,023 Vol.
1%
MSZP
$10,503 Vol.
1%
Jobbik
$2,016 Vol.
<1%
DK
$0 Vol.
<1%
Momentum
$0 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$0 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent polls for Hungary's April 2026 parliamentary election show TISZA steadily closing the gap on Fidesz-KDNP, with the latest surveys from late November placing Fidesz at 42-47% and TISZA at 28-35% in list vote intention, within striking distance given historical polling volatility and Fidesz's slip from supermajority in 2022. TISZA's momentum stems from its 29% EU Parliament vote share in June, leader Péter Magyar's rallies drawing opposition support, and Fidesz facing backlash over economic stagnation, withheld EU funds, and scandals like the child protection pardon controversy. Traders' consensus—Fidesz-KDNP 65% for second place, TISZA 34.5%—prices in upset potential via the wisdom of crowds, while smaller parties like Mi Hazánk remain marginal; key watch includes sustained polling shifts and any snap election signals.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volumen
$55,914Fecha de finalización
Apr 12, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent polls for Hungary's April 2026 parliamentary election show TISZA steadily closing the gap on Fidesz-KDNP, with the latest surveys from late November placing Fidesz at 42-47% and TISZA at 28-35% in list vote intention, within striking distance given historical polling volatility and Fidesz's slip from supermajority in 2022. TISZA's momentum stems from its 29% EU Parliament vote share in June, leader Péter Magyar's rallies drawing opposition support, and Fidesz facing backlash over economic stagnation, withheld EU funds, and scandals like the child protection pardon controversy. Traders' consensus—Fidesz-KDNP 65% for second place, TISZA 34.5%—prices in upset potential via the wisdom of crowds, while smaller parties like Mi Hazánk remain marginal; key watch includes sustained polling shifts and any snap election signals.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volumen
$55,914Fecha de finalización
Apr 12, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Hungary's April 2026 parliamentary election show TISZA steadily closing the gap on Fidesz-KDNP, with the latest surveys from late November placing Fidesz at 42-47% and TISZA at 28-35% in list vote intention, within striking distance given historical polling volatility and Fidesz's slip from supermajority in 2022. TISZA's momentum stems from its 29% EU Parliament vote share in June, leader Péter Magyar's rallies drawing opposition support, and Fidesz facing backlash over economic stagnation, withheld EU funds, and scandals like the child protection pardon controversy. Traders' consensus—Fidesz-KDNP 65% for second place, TISZA 34.5%—prices in upset potential via the wisdom of crowds, while smaller parties like Mi Hazánk remain marginal; key watch includes sustained polling shifts and any snap election signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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