**Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 28, 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike during the Iran war triggered an expedited succession process.** The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader in early March, citing institutional continuity amid wartime pressures. Mojtaba has remained largely out of public view since the attack that reportedly injured him, prompting reports of collective decision-making involving the IRGC, President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, and Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei. Recent August 2026 military and security appointments, including roles for Mohsen Rezaei and IRGC commanders, signal Mojtaba’s influence over key institutions despite ongoing questions about his health and visibility. These developments, alongside ceasefire talks and sanctions, shape trader assessments of any additional near-term leadership shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$24,154,680 Vol.
31 ago 2026
31 de agosto
<1%
30 de septiembre
3%
31 de octubre
7%
30 de noviembre
11%
31 de diciembre
18%
30 de junio de 2027
25%
$24,154,680 Vol.
31 de agosto
$1,479,902 Vol.
<1%
30 de septiembre
$505,722 Vol.
3%
31 de octubre
$26,246 Vol.
7%
30 de noviembre
$22,994 Vol.
11%
31 de diciembre
$4,179,683 Vol.
18%
30 de junio de 2027
$252,410 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 28, 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike during the Iran war triggered an expedited succession process.** The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader in early March, citing institutional continuity amid wartime pressures. Mojtaba has remained largely out of public view since the attack that reportedly injured him, prompting reports of collective decision-making involving the IRGC, President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, and Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei. Recent August 2026 military and security appointments, including roles for Mohsen Rezaei and IRGC commanders, signal Mojtaba’s influence over key institutions despite ongoing questions about his health and visibility. These developments, alongside ceasefire talks and sanctions, shape trader assessments of any additional near-term leadership shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Volumen
$24,154,680Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 28, 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike during the Iran war triggered an expedited succession process.** The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader in early March, citing institutional continuity amid wartime pressures. Mojtaba has remained largely out of public view since the attack that reportedly injured him, prompting reports of collective decision-making involving the IRGC, President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, and Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei. Recent August 2026 military and security appointments, including roles for Mohsen Rezaei and IRGC commanders, signal Mojtaba’s influence over key institutions despite ongoing questions about his health and visibility. These developments, alongside ceasefire talks and sanctions, shape trader assessments of any additional near-term leadership shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$24,154,680Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 28, 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike during the Iran war triggered an expedited succession process.** The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader in early March, citing institutional continuity amid wartime pressures. Mojtaba has remained largely out of public view since the attack that reportedly injured him, prompting reports of collective decision-making involving the IRGC, President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, and Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei. Recent August 2026 military and security appointments, including roles for Mohsen Rezaei and IRGC commanders, signal Mojtaba’s influence over key institutions despite ongoing questions about his health and visibility. These developments, alongside ceasefire talks and sanctions, shape trader assessments of any additional near-term leadership shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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