Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected at roughly 22–32 seats, most often below its 32-seat result from 2022. The party’s standing has been pressured by voter fatigue after nearly two decades of Netanyahu-led governments, the lingering effects of the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent multi-front conflicts, and widespread discontent with the governing coalition’s handling of Haredi military exemptions and judicial measures. A surging centrist challenge from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party has further fragmented support on the right, while the broader opposition bloc hovers near or above the 61-seat threshold in multiple surveys. These trends have produced a clear trader consensus that Likud seat totals will decline, even as the party remains competitive for the largest single share.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected at roughly 22–32 seats, most often below its 32-seat result from 2022. The party’s standing has been pressured by voter fatigue after nearly two decades of Netanyahu-led governments, the lingering effects of the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent multi-front conflicts, and widespread discontent with the governing coalition’s handling of Haredi military exemptions and judicial measures. A surging centrist challenge from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party has further fragmented support on the right, while the broader opposition bloc hovers near or above the 61-seat threshold in multiple surveys. These trends have produced a clear trader consensus that Likud seat totals will decline, even as the party remains competitive for the largest single share.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volumen
$9,152Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected at roughly 22–32 seats, most often below its 32-seat result from 2022. The party’s standing has been pressured by voter fatigue after nearly two decades of Netanyahu-led governments, the lingering effects of the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent multi-front conflicts, and widespread discontent with the governing coalition’s handling of Haredi military exemptions and judicial measures. A surging centrist challenge from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party has further fragmented support on the right, while the broader opposition bloc hovers near or above the 61-seat threshold in multiple surveys. These trends have produced a clear trader consensus that Likud seat totals will decline, even as the party remains competitive for the largest single share.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$9,152Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected at roughly 22–32 seats, most often below its 32-seat result from 2022. The party’s standing has been pressured by voter fatigue after nearly two decades of Netanyahu-led governments, the lingering effects of the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent multi-front conflicts, and widespread discontent with the governing coalition’s handling of Haredi military exemptions and judicial measures. A surging centrist challenge from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party has further fragmented support on the right, while the broader opposition bloc hovers near or above the 61-seat threshold in multiple surveys. These trends have produced a clear trader consensus that Likud seat totals will decline, even as the party remains competitive for the largest single share.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes