Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election consistently project Likud at 21–23 seats, well below its current 32 (or 36 including the New Hope merger). This reflects sustained voter fatigue with Benjamin Netanyahu's extended leadership, lingering effects from the October 7 attacks and subsequent security challenges, and competition from new centrist and opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has tied or surpassed Likud in multiple surveys. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc trails the opposition overall, with limited prospects for recovery before voting day. These trends underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will finish with fewer mandates than it holds now.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado87% probabilidad
$11,084 Vol.
$11,084 Vol.
27 oct 2026
87% probabilidad
$11,084 Vol.
$11,084 Vol.
27 oct 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election consistently project Likud at 21–23 seats, well below its current 32 (or 36 including the New Hope merger). This reflects sustained voter fatigue with Benjamin Netanyahu's extended leadership, lingering effects from the October 7 attacks and subsequent security challenges, and competition from new centrist and opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has tied or surpassed Likud in multiple surveys. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc trails the opposition overall, with limited prospects for recovery before voting day. These trends underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will finish with fewer mandates than it holds now.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volumen
$11,084Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election consistently project Likud at 21–23 seats, well below its current 32 (or 36 including the New Hope merger). This reflects sustained voter fatigue with Benjamin Netanyahu's extended leadership, lingering effects from the October 7 attacks and subsequent security challenges, and competition from new centrist and opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has tied or surpassed Likud in multiple surveys. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc trails the opposition overall, with limited prospects for recovery before voting day. These trends underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will finish with fewer mandates than it holds now.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$11,084Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election consistently project Likud at 21–23 seats, well below its current 32 (or 36 including the New Hope merger). This reflects sustained voter fatigue with Benjamin Netanyahu's extended leadership, lingering effects from the October 7 attacks and subsequent security challenges, and competition from new centrist and opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has tied or surpassed Likud in multiple surveys. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc trails the opposition overall, with limited prospects for recovery before voting day. These trends underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will finish with fewer mandates than it holds now.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes