Trader consensus strongly favors Kanye West's "Bully" first-week album sales under 300k units (81.5% implied probability), propelled by early Luminate tracking data revealing tepid streaming numbers—around 20-25 million U.S. streams—and pure sales below 50k amid minimal promotion and radio blackouts. Ye's persistent controversies, including recent antisemitic posts, have eroded mainstream appeal, echoing the diminished debuts of Vultures 2 (148k) and prior solo efforts. The 300k-400k bin (7.5%) captures outlier hopes for viral TikTok boosts or bundle surges, but competition from Drake and Post Malone releases caps upside potential. Markets await Tuesday's official Billboard update for resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoKanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 82%
300k-400k 8%
800k-900k 4.3%
700k-800k 3.9%
<300k
82%
300k-400k
8%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
4%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
<300k 82%
300k-400k 8%
800k-900k 4.3%
700k-800k 3.9%
<300k
82%
300k-400k
8%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
4%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors Kanye West's "Bully" first-week album sales under 300k units (81.5% implied probability), propelled by early Luminate tracking data revealing tepid streaming numbers—around 20-25 million U.S. streams—and pure sales below 50k amid minimal promotion and radio blackouts. Ye's persistent controversies, including recent antisemitic posts, have eroded mainstream appeal, echoing the diminished debuts of Vultures 2 (148k) and prior solo efforts. The 300k-400k bin (7.5%) captures outlier hopes for viral TikTok boosts or bundle surges, but competition from Drake and Post Malone releases caps upside potential. Markets await Tuesday's official Billboard update for resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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