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Política·Elección

Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Maine

icon for Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Maine
Política·Elección

Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Maine

Arrasan los demócratas 63%

Dems ganan gobernador, Reps ganan Senado 30%

Victoria total de los republicanos 5%

Reps ganan Gobernador, Dems ganan Senado 1.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Arrasan los demócratas 63%

Dems ganan gobernador, Reps ganan Senado 30%

Victoria total de los republicanos 5%

Reps ganan Gobernador, Dems ganan Senado 1.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Arrasan los demócratas

$1,486 Vol.

63%

Dems ganan gobernador, Reps ganan Senado

$319 Vol.

30%

Victoria total de los republicanos

$118 Vol.

5%

Reps ganan Gobernador, Dems ganan Senado

$48 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. **Dems sweep leads the Maine Senate-Governor combo market at 62.5%** because recent polling shows Democratic Senate nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow edge over incumbent Republican Susan Collins while Democratic gubernatorial nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a clearer advantage over Republican nominee Bobby Charles in the open race. Jackson replaced primary winner Graham Platner after the latter’s July 2026 withdrawal amid allegations; the late-July nominating convention and subsequent surveys showing Jackson ahead by 1–3 points have stabilized his position in a toss-up contest rated competitive by outlets including Cook Political Report. Pingree’s stronger standing reflects the state’s partisan tilt and voter priorities on issues such as abortion access and housing after term-limited Democratic Governor Janet Mills exited the field. The “Other” outcome at 50% captures possibilities of independent or third-party influence in the gubernatorial contest, while Republican sweep remains low at 4.5% given Collins’s vulnerability in a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles. Traders weigh the compressed timeline to November 3 and limited polling movement since the primaries as supporting the current consensus probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$1,971
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. **Dems sweep leads the Maine Senate-Governor combo market at 62.5%** because recent polling shows Democratic Senate nominee Troy Jackson holding a narrow edge over incumbent Republican Susan Collins while Democratic gubernatorial nominee Hannah Pingree maintains a clearer advantage over Republican nominee Bobby Charles in the open race. Jackson replaced primary winner Graham Platner after the latter’s July 2026 withdrawal amid allegations; the late-July nominating convention and subsequent surveys showing Jackson ahead by 1–3 points have stabilized his position in a toss-up contest rated competitive by outlets including Cook Political Report. Pingree’s stronger standing reflects the state’s partisan tilt and voter priorities on issues such as abortion access and housing after term-limited Democratic Governor Janet Mills exited the field. The “Other” outcome at 50% captures possibilities of independent or third-party influence in the gubernatorial contest, while Republican sweep remains low at 4.5% given Collins’s vulnerability in a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles. Traders weigh the compressed timeline to November 3 and limited polling movement since the primaries as supporting the current consensus probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$1,971
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Maine" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Arrasan los demócratas" con 63%, seguido de "Dems ganan gobernador, Reps ganan Senado" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Maine" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 11, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Maine", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Maine" es "Arrasan los demócratas" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dems ganan gobernador, Reps ganan Senado" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Maine" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.