Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas
Mundo·Elecciones Francesas

Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas

icon for Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas
Mundo·Elecciones Francesas

Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas

Marine Le Pen 34.4%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 8.0%

Polymarket

$133,042,003 Vol.

Marine Le Pen 34.4%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 8.0%

Polymarket

$133,042,003 Vol.

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,413,561 Vol.

34%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,594,737 Vol.

28%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,435,003 Vol.

12%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,126,725 Vol.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,781,022 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,268,801 Vol.

2%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,111,370 Vol.

2%

icon for Título del elemento de grupo: Bruno Retailleau

Título del elemento de grupo: Bruno Retailleau

$2,250,789 Vol.

2%

icon for Título del ítem de grupo: Raphaël Glucksmann

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,727,491 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,054,456 Vol.

1%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,873,433 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,313,065 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,675,216 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,260,300 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$4,175,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,943,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$3,652,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$4,154,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,691,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$863,669 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$5,722,928 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$5,981,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,755,672 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,731,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$5,253,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,879 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,939,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,132 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,742,192 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,337,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$4,826,241 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,136,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$441,509 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 34% amid her consolidated support within the Rassemblement National and a July 2026 appeals ruling that reduced her ineligibility period, clearing her path to the April 2027 first round. Édouard Philippe trails at 27% as the strongest centrist alternative, benefiting from polling strength in head-to-head scenarios but constrained by vote fragmentation among multiple Macron-aligned and moderate-right contenders including Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds third at 11.5% on the divided left, with recent surveys showing him competitive for a runoff berth in some configurations. The narrow gap between the top two reflects uncertainty over candidate consolidation, primary outcomes, and second-round transfers in a polarized field ahead of the April 18 first-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$133,042,003
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 34% amid her consolidated support within the Rassemblement National and a July 2026 appeals ruling that reduced her ineligibility period, clearing her path to the April 2027 first round. Édouard Philippe trails at 27% as the strongest centrist alternative, benefiting from polling strength in head-to-head scenarios but constrained by vote fragmentation among multiple Macron-aligned and moderate-right contenders including Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau. Jean-Luc Mélenchon holds third at 11.5% on the divided left, with recent surveys showing him competitive for a runoff berth in some configurations. The narrow gap between the top two reflects uncertainty over candidate consolidation, primary outcomes, and second-round transfers in a polarized field ahead of the April 18 first-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$133,042,003
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Relacionado

icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

89%
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%
icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

76%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 41+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Marine Le Pen" con 34%, seguido de "Édouard Philippe" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas" ha generado $133 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas", explora los 41+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas" es "Marine Le Pen" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Édouard Philippe" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.