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Política·Australia

Próximo Premier de Victoria

icon for Próximo Premier de Victoria
Política·Australia

Próximo Premier de Victoria

Jess Wilson 64%

Ben Carroll 20%

Warren Pickering 5%

Jacinta Allan 4.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$10,188 Vol.

Jess Wilson 64%

Ben Carroll 20%

Warren Pickering 5%

Jacinta Allan 4.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$10,188 Vol.

icon for Jess Wilson

Jess Wilson

$899 Vol.

64%

icon for Ben Carroll

Ben Carroll

$623 Vol.

20%

icon for Warren Pickering

Warren Pickering

$978 Vol.

5%

icon for Jacinta Allan

Jacinta Allan

$192 Vol.

4%

icon for Emma Kealy

Emma Kealy

$1,028 Vol.

4%

icon for Sonya Kilkenny

Sonya Kilkenny

$100 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Dimopoulos

Steve Dimopoulos

$100 Vol.

4%

icon for David Southwick

David Southwick

$50 Vol.

3%

icon for Gabrielle Williams

Gabrielle Williams

$50 Vol.

3%

icon for Sam Groth

Sam Groth

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jaclyn Symes

Jaclyn Symes

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Battin

Brad Battin

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Danny O'Brien

Danny O'Brien

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ellen Sandell

Ellen Sandell

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Newbury

James Newbury

$1,028 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jess Wilson leads trader pricing for Victoria's next premier at 63.5% ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election, reflecting consistent preferred-premier polling advantages and Coalition two-party-preferred strength over Labor. Recent Labor leadership turbulence, including Jacinta Allan's July 2026 resignation under caucus pressure over construction-sector integrity issues and Ben Carroll's subsequent elevation as premier with an immediate royal commission announcement, has not reversed the opposition's position. A fragmented primary vote near 25-30% each for Labor, Coalition, and One Nation has introduced preference-flow uncertainty and hung-parliament possibilities, while lower-priced figures such as Carroll and Warren Pickering trail in head-to-head and primary measures.

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,188
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.vic.gov.au/premier

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jess Wilson leads trader pricing for Victoria's next premier at 63.5% ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election, reflecting consistent preferred-premier polling advantages and Coalition two-party-preferred strength over Labor. Recent Labor leadership turbulence, including Jacinta Allan's July 2026 resignation under caucus pressure over construction-sector integrity issues and Ben Carroll's subsequent elevation as premier with an immediate royal commission announcement, has not reversed the opposition's position. A fragmented primary vote near 25-30% each for Labor, Coalition, and One Nation has introduced preference-flow uncertainty and hung-parliament possibilities, while lower-priced figures such as Carroll and Warren Pickering trail in head-to-head and primary measures.

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,188
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.vic.gov.au/premier

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Premier de Victoria" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jess Wilson" con 64%, seguido de "Ben Carroll" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 64¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Premier de Victoria" ha generado $10.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Premier de Victoria", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Premier de Victoria" es "Jess Wilson" con 64%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ben Carroll" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Premier de Victoria" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.