Trader consensus has locked in a 98.9% "Yes" probability for over 240 US flight cancellations on March 24, driven primarily by severe winter storms battering the Northeast and Midwest, with FAA data already reporting over 300 cancellations by midday from major carriers like Delta, United, and American. Real-time tracking from FlightAware and airline advisories confirms widespread ground stops at hubs like ORD, JFK, and BOS due to heavy snow and icing, mirroring patterns from past nor'easters that routinely surpass this threshold. Public sentiment on social platforms echoes frustration with travel chaos, amplifying market conviction. Realistic upsets are slim—only an improbable rapid weather pivot before midnight ET could dip totals below 241, but extended forecasts predict sustained disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoOver 240 US flights cancelled on March 24?
Over 240 US flights cancelled on March 24?
$927 Vol.
$927 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
$927 Vol.
$927 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Volumen
$927Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$927Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus has locked in a 98.9% "Yes" probability for over 240 US flight cancellations on March 24, driven primarily by severe winter storms battering the Northeast and Midwest, with FAA data already reporting over 300 cancellations by midday from major carriers like Delta, United, and American. Real-time tracking from FlightAware and airline advisories confirms widespread ground stops at hubs like ORD, JFK, and BOS due to heavy snow and icing, mirroring patterns from past nor'easters that routinely surpass this threshold. Public sentiment on social platforms echoes frustration with travel chaos, amplifying market conviction. Realistic upsets are slim—only an improbable rapid weather pivot before midnight ET could dip totals below 241, but extended forecasts predict sustained disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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