Trader consensus heavily weights the 64% implied probability on no Perplexity IPO before 2028 because CEO Aravind Srinivas reiterated in June 2026 a firm target of 2028 regardless of rival listings, with no S-1 filing or earlier signals emerging since. This stance allows the AI search company to build a longer track record amid rapid private growth, including annualized revenue surpassing $750 million by August 2026—up from under $250 million at the start of the year—largely from the Perplexity Computer agent. Recent talks of Nvidia-led funding at over $30 billion valuation, more than 50% above the September 2025 $20 billion round, further support staying private to capture higher multiples before public scrutiny. Competitor moves by OpenAI and Anthropic have not altered Perplexity’s timeline, keeping lower-probability market-cap brackets clustered under 8% each as traders price in delayed resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPerplexidad IPO Cierre Capitalización de Mercado
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028 64%
<20 mil millones 7.8%
$50B–$75B 7.2%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones 6.8%
$147,414 Vol.
$147,414 Vol.
<20 mil millones
8%
$20–30 mil millones
5%
30B–40B
5%
40B–50B
2%
$50B–$75B
7%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones
7%
100 mil millones+
5%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
64%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028 64%
<20 mil millones 7.8%
$50B–$75B 7.2%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones 6.8%
$147,414 Vol.
$147,414 Vol.
<20 mil millones
8%
$20–30 mil millones
5%
30B–40B
5%
40B–50B
2%
$50B–$75B
7%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones
7%
100 mil millones+
5%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
64%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily weights the 64% implied probability on no Perplexity IPO before 2028 because CEO Aravind Srinivas reiterated in June 2026 a firm target of 2028 regardless of rival listings, with no S-1 filing or earlier signals emerging since. This stance allows the AI search company to build a longer track record amid rapid private growth, including annualized revenue surpassing $750 million by August 2026—up from under $250 million at the start of the year—largely from the Perplexity Computer agent. Recent talks of Nvidia-led funding at over $30 billion valuation, more than 50% above the September 2025 $20 billion round, further support staying private to capture higher multiples before public scrutiny. Competitor moves by OpenAI and Anthropic have not altered Perplexity’s timeline, keeping lower-probability market-cap brackets clustered under 8% each as traders price in delayed resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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