With rainfall accumulating to just 60mm at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven by a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5 and scant precipitation since—traders favor totals under 130mm at 32.5%, reflecting a dry spell through mid-month amid below-average early accumulation against a historical April norm near 150mm. The tight race with 130-140mm (23%) and nearby bins stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal rainfall in April-June, plus uncertainty in the remaining two weeks where short-term forecasts show limited showers but leave room for rain-bearing systems or tropical activity. A prolonged dry pattern or late heavy events could widen the gap between low and mid-range outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm 32%
140-150 mm 25%
130-140 mm 23%
150-160mm 19%
$28,572 Vol.
$28,572 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<130mm
32%
130-140 mm
22%
140-150 mm
25%
150-160mm
14%
160-170mm
4%
190-200 mm
2%
180-190
3%
190 mm+
10%
<130mm 32%
140-150 mm 25%
130-140 mm 23%
150-160mm 19%
$28,572 Vol.
$28,572 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<130mm
$13,162 Vol.
32%
130-140 mm
$5,191 Vol.
22%
140-150 mm
$5,687 Vol.
25%
150-160mm
$3,218 Vol.
14%
160-170mm
$247 Vol.
4%
190-200 mm
$199 Vol.
2%
180-190
$211 Vol.
3%
190 mm+
$658 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With rainfall accumulating to just 60mm at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven by a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5 and scant precipitation since—traders favor totals under 130mm at 32.5%, reflecting a dry spell through mid-month amid below-average early accumulation against a historical April norm near 150mm. The tight race with 130-140mm (23%) and nearby bins stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal rainfall in April-June, plus uncertainty in the remaining two weeks where short-term forecasts show limited showers but leave room for rain-bearing systems or tropical activity. A prolonged dry pattern or late heavy events could widen the gap between low and mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volumen
$28,572Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With rainfall accumulating to just 60mm at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven by a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5 and scant precipitation since—traders favor totals under 130mm at 32.5%, reflecting a dry spell through mid-month amid below-average early accumulation against a historical April norm near 150mm. The tight race with 130-140mm (23%) and nearby bins stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal rainfall in April-June, plus uncertainty in the remaining two weeks where short-term forecasts show limited showers but leave room for rain-bearing systems or tropical activity. A prolonged dry pattern or late heavy events could widen the gap between low and mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,572Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With rainfall accumulating to just 60mm at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven by a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5 and scant precipitation since—traders favor totals under 130mm at 32.5%, reflecting a dry spell through mid-month amid below-average early accumulation against a historical April norm near 150mm. The tight race with 130-140mm (23%) and nearby bins stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal rainfall in April-June, plus uncertainty in the remaining two weeks where short-term forecasts show limited showers but leave room for rain-bearing systems or tropical activity. A prolonged dry pattern or late heavy events could widen the gap between low and mid-range outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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