Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations record just 33 mm of precipitation in Seoul through mid-April 2026—about 45% of the historical monthly normal of 73 mm—with notable showers limited to April 6 (6.6 mm), 9 (15.7 mm), and 10 (10.5 mm). This dry start, amid persistent high-pressure systems and mild spring conditions, drives trader consensus toward the <40 mm outcome at 45.5% implied probability, well below climatological averages influenced by pre-monsoon patterns. Current forecast models from KMA indicate low additional rainfall risk over the remaining days, though inherent uncertainty in convective showers could shift totals; watch daily updates for evolving guidance on precipitation thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40 mm 59%
65-70 mm 16%
75 mm o más 10%
55-60 mm 8%
$16,575 Vol.
$16,575 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<40 mm
59%
40-45 mm
12%
45-50 mm
2%
50-55 mm
8%
55-60 mm
8%
60-65 mm
5%
65-70 mm
16%
70-75 mm
1%
75 mm o más
10%
<40 mm 59%
65-70 mm 16%
75 mm o más 10%
55-60 mm 8%
$16,575 Vol.
$16,575 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<40 mm
$10,572 Vol.
59%
40-45 mm
$250 Vol.
12%
45-50 mm
$234 Vol.
2%
50-55 mm
$1,694 Vol.
8%
55-60 mm
$2,352 Vol.
8%
60-65 mm
$182 Vol.
5%
65-70 mm
$393 Vol.
16%
70-75 mm
$211 Vol.
1%
75 mm o más
$688 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations record just 33 mm of precipitation in Seoul through mid-April 2026—about 45% of the historical monthly normal of 73 mm—with notable showers limited to April 6 (6.6 mm), 9 (15.7 mm), and 10 (10.5 mm). This dry start, amid persistent high-pressure systems and mild spring conditions, drives trader consensus toward the <40 mm outcome at 45.5% implied probability, well below climatological averages influenced by pre-monsoon patterns. Current forecast models from KMA indicate low additional rainfall risk over the remaining days, though inherent uncertainty in convective showers could shift totals; watch daily updates for evolving guidance on precipitation thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volumen
$16,575Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations record just 33 mm of precipitation in Seoul through mid-April 2026—about 45% of the historical monthly normal of 73 mm—with notable showers limited to April 6 (6.6 mm), 9 (15.7 mm), and 10 (10.5 mm). This dry start, amid persistent high-pressure systems and mild spring conditions, drives trader consensus toward the <40 mm outcome at 45.5% implied probability, well below climatological averages influenced by pre-monsoon patterns. Current forecast models from KMA indicate low additional rainfall risk over the remaining days, though inherent uncertainty in convective showers could shift totals; watch daily updates for evolving guidance on precipitation thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,575Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations record just 33 mm of precipitation in Seoul through mid-April 2026—about 45% of the historical monthly normal of 73 mm—with notable showers limited to April 6 (6.6 mm), 9 (15.7 mm), and 10 (10.5 mm). This dry start, amid persistent high-pressure systems and mild spring conditions, drives trader consensus toward the <40 mm outcome at 45.5% implied probability, well below climatological averages influenced by pre-monsoon patterns. Current forecast models from KMA indicate low additional rainfall risk over the remaining days, though inherent uncertainty in convective showers could shift totals; watch daily updates for evolving guidance on precipitation thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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