Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35% probability for below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with minimal rainfall accumulation well under the climatological average of 65-75mm spread over about 8 rainy days. Persistent high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture inflow and storm development, as reflected in recent KMA short-range forecasts indicating low precipitation probabilities (often under 30%) for the coming days. Secondary odds on 65-70mm (15.5%) account for potential late-month showers typical in spring transition patterns, though model consensus favors subdued totals; monitor KMA daily updates and extended outlooks through April 30 for shifts amid inherent seasonal uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Seúl en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Seúl en abril?
<40 mm 41%
65-70 mm 16%
50-55 mm 10%
55-60 mm 8%
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<40 mm
41%
40-45 mm
12%
45-50 mm
7%
50-55 mm
10%
55-60 mm
8%
60-65 mm
5%
65-70 mm
16%
70-75 mm
2%
75 mm o más
9%
<40 mm 41%
65-70 mm 16%
50-55 mm 10%
55-60 mm 8%
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<40 mm
$10,637 Vol.
41%
40-45 mm
$250 Vol.
12%
45-50 mm
$255 Vol.
7%
50-55 mm
$1,694 Vol.
10%
55-60 mm
$2,352 Vol.
8%
60-65 mm
$182 Vol.
5%
65-70 mm
$393 Vol.
16%
70-75 mm
$211 Vol.
2%
75 mm o más
$688 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35% probability for below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with minimal rainfall accumulation well under the climatological average of 65-75mm spread over about 8 rainy days. Persistent high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture inflow and storm development, as reflected in recent KMA short-range forecasts indicating low precipitation probabilities (often under 30%) for the coming days. Secondary odds on 65-70mm (15.5%) account for potential late-month showers typical in spring transition patterns, though model consensus favors subdued totals; monitor KMA daily updates and extended outlooks through April 30 for shifts amid inherent seasonal uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volumen
$16,660Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35% probability for below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with minimal rainfall accumulation well under the climatological average of 65-75mm spread over about 8 rainy days. Persistent high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture inflow and storm development, as reflected in recent KMA short-range forecasts indicating low precipitation probabilities (often under 30%) for the coming days. Secondary odds on 65-70mm (15.5%) account for potential late-month showers typical in spring transition patterns, though model consensus favors subdued totals; monitor KMA daily updates and extended outlooks through April 30 for shifts amid inherent seasonal uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,660Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35% probability for below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with minimal rainfall accumulation well under the climatological average of 65-75mm spread over about 8 rainy days. Persistent high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture inflow and storm development, as reflected in recent KMA short-range forecasts indicating low precipitation probabilities (often under 30%) for the coming days. Secondary odds on 65-70mm (15.5%) account for potential late-month showers typical in spring transition patterns, though model consensus favors subdued totals; monitor KMA daily updates and extended outlooks through April 30 for shifts amid inherent seasonal uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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