The 50% implied probability on Yes captures a tight balance between the record's extreme historical rarity—only Randy Moss (23 in 2007) and Jerry Rice (22 in 1987) have reached 20-plus receiving touchdowns in a season—and the potential for volume-dominant wide receivers in today's pass-heavy offenses. Ja'Marr Chase has publicly targeted the mark entering 2026, building on his 17-touchdown 2024 campaign, while Davante Adams led the league with 14 scores in 2025. Consensus projections for top options like Chase, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Puka Nacua hover around 9-11 touchdowns, reflecting typical regression from outlier red-zone efficiency. Key variables that could shift sentiment include sustained quarterback health and end-zone target share in high-powered schemes, versus injuries, defensive adjustments, or reduced usage that cap even elite performers well below 20.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado50% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ene 2027
50% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ene 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability on Yes captures a tight balance between the record's extreme historical rarity—only Randy Moss (23 in 2007) and Jerry Rice (22 in 1987) have reached 20-plus receiving touchdowns in a season—and the potential for volume-dominant wide receivers in today's pass-heavy offenses. Ja'Marr Chase has publicly targeted the mark entering 2026, building on his 17-touchdown 2024 campaign, while Davante Adams led the league with 14 scores in 2025. Consensus projections for top options like Chase, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Puka Nacua hover around 9-11 touchdowns, reflecting typical regression from outlier red-zone efficiency. Key variables that could shift sentiment include sustained quarterback health and end-zone target share in high-powered schemes, versus injuries, defensive adjustments, or reduced usage that cap even elite performers well below 20.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
12 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability on Yes captures a tight balance between the record's extreme historical rarity—only Randy Moss (23 in 2007) and Jerry Rice (22 in 1987) have reached 20-plus receiving touchdowns in a season—and the potential for volume-dominant wide receivers in today's pass-heavy offenses. Ja'Marr Chase has publicly targeted the mark entering 2026, building on his 17-touchdown 2024 campaign, while Davante Adams led the league with 14 scores in 2025. Consensus projections for top options like Chase, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Puka Nacua hover around 9-11 touchdowns, reflecting typical regression from outlier red-zone efficiency. Key variables that could shift sentiment include sustained quarterback health and end-zone target share in high-powered schemes, versus injuries, defensive adjustments, or reduced usage that cap even elite performers well below 20.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
12 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 50% implied probability on Yes captures a tight balance between the record's extreme historical rarity—only Randy Moss (23 in 2007) and Jerry Rice (22 in 1987) have reached 20-plus receiving touchdowns in a season—and the potential for volume-dominant wide receivers in today's pass-heavy offenses. Ja'Marr Chase has publicly targeted the mark entering 2026, building on his 17-touchdown 2024 campaign, while Davante Adams led the league with 14 scores in 2025. Consensus projections for top options like Chase, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Puka Nacua hover around 9-11 touchdowns, reflecting typical regression from outlier red-zone efficiency. Key variables that could shift sentiment include sustained quarterback health and end-zone target share in high-powered schemes, versus injuries, defensive adjustments, or reduced usage that cap even elite performers well below 20.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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