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¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?

Market icon

¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?

Mar 14

Mar 14

Subió

5% chance
Polymarket

$11,911 Vol.

Subió

5% chance
Polymarket

$11,911 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$11,911
Fecha de finalización
Mar 14, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$11,911
Fecha de finalización
Mar 14, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" es un mercado de predicción diario en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre si el precio de Bitcoin terminará más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que su precio de apertura durante la ventana diario especificada en el título. La probabilidad actual del mercado es 95% para "Bajó". Un precio de 95% significa que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Los precios se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los movimientos de precio en vivo de Bitcoin. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" ha generado $11.9K en volumen total de trading. Los mercados de Bitcoin Up o Down atraen operadores activos que reaccionan a los movimientos de precios en vivo en tiempo real, este nivel de actividad ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales de Up/Down estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes. Puedes seguir los precios en vivo y operar directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?", decide si crees que el precio de Bitcoin al mediodía ET del March 13 será más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que al mediodía ET del March 6. Compra "Up" si crees que el precio subirá, o "Down" si crees que bajará. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado es correcto, cada acción paga $1,00. Si es incorrecto, las acciones valen $0.

La probabilidad actual para "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" es 95% para "Bajó", lo que significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente asigna una probabilidad de 95% de que el precio de Bitcoin terminará bajó durante esta ventana diario. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los datos de precio en vivo de Bitcoin. Durante un día completo, las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento en evolución a medida que se desarrolla la acción de precio del día. Vuelve con frecuencia u opera ahora antes de que la ventana cierre.

El mercado "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" se resuelve comparando el precio de Bitcoin al mediodía ET del March 13 con el del mediodía ET del March 6, usando los precios de cierre de velas de 1 minuto de Binance BTC/USDT. Si el precio al mediodía del March 13 es mayor, el resultado es "Up"; si es menor, "Down"; si es igual, el mercado se resuelve 50-50. Puedes revisar los criterios completos en la sección "Reglas".