SpaceX is advancing Starship V3 vehicles equipped with docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware specifically for in-orbit rendezvous and refueling demonstrations planned for 2026. Recent flight tests, including Flight 13 in July and the expected debut of orbital-capable V3 hardware on Flight 14 around September, are building toward the first ship-to-ship propellant transfer attempt later this year, with tanker variants using DragonEye sensors for autonomous approach. These milestones reflect steady progress in Block 3 designs and tower operations, though full docking remains untested amid typical development risks like integration delays or regulatory holds. Traders are closely watching upcoming launch cadence and any official updates on the refueling timeline as key swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$59,990 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
12%
31 de diciembre de 2027
54%
$59,990 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$38,867 Vol.
12%
31 de diciembre de 2027
$21,123 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX is advancing Starship V3 vehicles equipped with docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware specifically for in-orbit rendezvous and refueling demonstrations planned for 2026. Recent flight tests, including Flight 13 in July and the expected debut of orbital-capable V3 hardware on Flight 14 around September, are building toward the first ship-to-ship propellant transfer attempt later this year, with tanker variants using DragonEye sensors for autonomous approach. These milestones reflect steady progress in Block 3 designs and tower operations, though full docking remains untested amid typical development risks like integration delays or regulatory holds. Traders are closely watching upcoming launch cadence and any official updates on the refueling timeline as key swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$59,990Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX is advancing Starship V3 vehicles equipped with docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware specifically for in-orbit rendezvous and refueling demonstrations planned for 2026. Recent flight tests, including Flight 13 in July and the expected debut of orbital-capable V3 hardware on Flight 14 around September, are building toward the first ship-to-ship propellant transfer attempt later this year, with tanker variants using DragonEye sensors for autonomous approach. These milestones reflect steady progress in Block 3 designs and tower operations, though full docking remains untested amid typical development risks like integration delays or regulatory holds. Traders are closely watching upcoming launch cadence and any official updates on the refueling timeline as key swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$59,990Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX is advancing Starship V3 vehicles equipped with docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware specifically for in-orbit rendezvous and refueling demonstrations planned for 2026. Recent flight tests, including Flight 13 in July and the expected debut of orbital-capable V3 hardware on Flight 14 around September, are building toward the first ship-to-ship propellant transfer attempt later this year, with tanker variants using DragonEye sensors for autonomous approach. These milestones reflect steady progress in Block 3 designs and tower operations, though full docking remains untested amid typical development risks like integration delays or regulatory holds. Traders are closely watching upcoming launch cadence and any official updates on the refueling timeline as key swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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