¿Qué pasará antes de GTA VI?
¿Qué pasará antes de GTA VI?
$18,843,952 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
Drake lanza Iceman
94%
GPT-6 lanzado
61%
Título del ítem del grupo: Cese al fuego entre Rusia y Ucrania
58%
Nuevo álbum de Rihanna
54%
Trump fuera como presidente
53%
Nuevo álbum de Playboi Carti
52%
China invade Taiwán
52%
Bitcoin alcanza 1 millón
49%
Jesucristo regresa
49%
$18,843,952 Vol.
Drake lanza Iceman
$67,703 Vol.
94%
GPT-6 lanzado
$605,957 Vol.
61%
Título del ítem del grupo: Cese al fuego entre Rusia y Ucrania
$1,367,402 Vol.
58%
Nuevo álbum de Rihanna
$647,363 Vol.
54%
Trump fuera como presidente
$534,262 Vol.
53%
Nuevo álbum de Playboi Carti
$681,065 Vol.
52%
China invade Taiwán
$1,463,304 Vol.
52%
Bitcoin alcanza 1 millón
$3,523,601 Vol.
49%
Jesucristo regresa
$9,953,294 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2025, 10:20 AM ET
Volumen
$18,843,952Fecha de finalización
Jul 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2025, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes