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Política·DHS

¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?

Market icon
Política·DHS

¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?

abr 30

jul 31

abr 30

jul 31

Después del 30 de abril 77.1%

21-24 de abril 6.3%

29-30 de abril 5.5%

25-28 de abril 5.5%

Polymarket

$949,185 Vol.

Después del 30 de abril 77.1%

21-24 de abril 6.3%

29-30 de abril 5.5%

25-28 de abril 5.5%

Polymarket

$949,185 Vol.

13-16 de abril

$68,610 Vol.

<1%

17-20 de abril

$404,431 Vol.

2%

21-24 de abril

$50,629 Vol.

6%

25-28 de abril

$13,382 Vol.

5%

29-30 de abril

$13,922 Vol.

6%

Después del 30 de abril

$158,850 Vol.

77%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now exceeding 60 days since February 14 amid congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, remains unresolved despite the House returning from recess on April 14 without advancing a bipartisan continuing resolution. Recent DHS budget hearings on April 16 underscored growing backlogs in contracts and operations, while the agency recalled thousands of furloughed employees—including TSA staff—and issued retroactive pay via presidential memorandum to sustain critical functions. Divergent House and Senate funding proposals have stalled progress, with trader consensus reflecting an 77.1% implied probability of no deal before May, as historical shutdown patterns show partisan impasses often extend amid appropriations battles.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$949,185
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now exceeding 60 days since February 14 amid congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, remains unresolved despite the House returning from recess on April 14 without advancing a bipartisan continuing resolution. Recent DHS budget hearings on April 16 underscored growing backlogs in contracts and operations, while the agency recalled thousands of furloughed employees—including TSA staff—and issued retroactive pay via presidential memorandum to sustain critical functions. Divergent House and Senate funding proposals have stalled progress, with trader consensus reflecting an 77.1% implied probability of no deal before May, as historical shutdown patterns show partisan impasses often extend amid appropriations battles.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$949,185
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Después del 30 de abril" con 77%, seguido de "21-24 de abril" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" ha generado $949.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" es "Después del 30 de abril" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "21-24 de abril" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.