Market icon

When will the first eaglet hatch?

Market icon

When will the first eaglet hatch?

April 8 27%

April 9 25%

April 7 19%

April 10 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$40,835 Vol.

April 8 27%

April 9 25%

April 7 19%

April 10 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$40,835 Vol.

April 3

$1,755 Vol.

<1%

April 4

$4,808 Vol.

2%

April 5

$3,933 Vol.

3%

April 6

$2,608 Vol.

5%

April 7

$3,949 Vol.

19%

April 8

$1,426 Vol.

27%

April 9

$2,598 Vol.

25%

April 10

$2,307 Vol.

11%

April 11

$2,782 Vol.

6%

April 12

$1,805 Vol.

3%

April 13

$2,577 Vol.

1%

April 14

$1,266 Vol.

1%

April 15

$944 Vol.

<1%

April 16

$1,192 Vol.

1%

No Hatch before April 17

$6,887 Vol.

5%

The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest. “Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify. If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”. The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams. The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius. This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable. All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/). Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward April 8 (26.5%) and April 9 (24.5%) for the first eaglet from Harry and Harriet's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam nest in Traverse City, Michigan, driven by confirmed lay dates—egg one on March 2, followed by March 5 and 8—aligning with standard 34-36 day incubation periods. Recent steady brooding through late March snowstorms has kept odds tight, with no pips sighted as of April 3 delaying expectations from pure timelines and boosting later dates over April 7 (18.5%). The closely contested field underscores hatch variability, precise pip-to-hatch gaps (24-48 hours), and 24/7 livestream scrutiny, where any breakthrough could swiftly shift the viral nest's momentum.

The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.

“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.

If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.

The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.

This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.

All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).

Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Volumen
$40,835
Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest. “Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify. If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”. The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams. The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius. This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable. All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/). Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest. “Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify. If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”. The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams. The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius. This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable. All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/). Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward April 8 (26.5%) and April 9 (24.5%) for the first eaglet from Harry and Harriet's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam nest in Traverse City, Michigan, driven by confirmed lay dates—egg one on March 2, followed by March 5 and 8—aligning with standard 34-36 day incubation periods. Recent steady brooding through late March snowstorms has kept odds tight, with no pips sighted as of April 3 delaying expectations from pure timelines and boosting later dates over April 7 (18.5%). The closely contested field underscores hatch variability, precise pip-to-hatch gaps (24-48 hours), and 24/7 livestream scrutiny, where any breakthrough could swiftly shift the viral nest's momentum.

The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.

“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.

If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.

The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.

This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.

All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).

Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Volumen
$40,835
Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest. “Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify. If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”. The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams. The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius. This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable. All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/). Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"When will the first eaglet hatch?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "April 8" con 27%, seguido de "April 9" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "When will the first eaglet hatch?" ha generado $40.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "When will the first eaglet hatch?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "When will the first eaglet hatch?" es "April 8" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "April 9" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "When will the first eaglet hatch?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.