FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April confirmation that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as scheduled has anchored trader consensus around no replacement. Earlier uncertainty from geopolitical tensions, Iran's initial withdrawal signals, and U.S. visa discussions prompted speculation about alternatives like Italy or Asian runners-up, but FIFA has shown no intent to invoke replacement rules and instead facilitated practical adjustments such as a Mexico training base. This official stance, reinforced by ongoing preparations for Iran's group-stage matches on U.S. soil, leaves only narrow paths for change, including a sudden Iranian withdrawal or unprecedented FIFA intervention in the final weeks before the tournament.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?
No Replacement 96.8%
Other 1.4%
UAE 1.0%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 Vol.
$59,283 Vol.

No Replacement
97%

Other
1%

UAE
1%

Italy
1%

Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 96.8%
Other 1.4%
UAE 1.0%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 Vol.
$59,283 Vol.

No Replacement
97%

Other
1%

UAE
1%

Italy
1%

Bolivia
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April confirmation that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as scheduled has anchored trader consensus around no replacement. Earlier uncertainty from geopolitical tensions, Iran's initial withdrawal signals, and U.S. visa discussions prompted speculation about alternatives like Italy or Asian runners-up, but FIFA has shown no intent to invoke replacement rules and instead facilitated practical adjustments such as a Mexico training base. This official stance, reinforced by ongoing preparations for Iran's group-stage matches on U.S. soil, leaves only narrow paths for change, including a sudden Iranian withdrawal or unprecedented FIFA intervention in the final weeks before the tournament.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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