As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have launched formal 2028 presidential campaigns, keeping early-announcement probabilities low across Polymarket outcomes. Potential Democratic contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Rahm Emanuel continue to test the waters through media appearances and donor outreach, while Republican names like JD Vance and Marco Rubio focus on midterm positioning rather than immediate bids. The November 2026 congressional elections represent the clearest near-term catalyst, as strong performances or surprising losses could accelerate exploratory committees or formal announcements before year-end. FEC filings remain limited to minor candidates, underscoring that structural factors—including term limits, party dynamics, and post-midterm recalibration—continue to shape the timeline for any pre-2027 declarations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$986,831 Vol.

Kamala Harris
12%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Tucker Carlson
11%

Pete Buttigieg
11%

Gavin Newsom
10%

Andy Beshear
10%

Mark Kelly
10%

Donald Trump
9%

Stephen A. Smith
9%

Brian Kemp
9%

Steve Bannon
9%

Don Lemon
8%

Gretchen Whitmer
8%

Ted Cruz
8%

Rand Paul
8%

Matt Gaetz
8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%

J.B. Pritzker
8%

Candace Owens
7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

Mark Cuban
7%

George Clooney
7%

Marco Rubio
6%

Vivek Ramaswamy
6%

Ron DeSantis
6%

J.D. Vance
6%

John Thune
6%

Cory Booker
5%

Erika Kirk
5%

Glenn Youngkin
5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%

Donald Trump Jr.
5%

Josh Shapiro
5%

Gina Raimondo
4%

Jared Polis
4%

Oprah Winfrey
4%

Greg Abbott
4%

Kristi Noem
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Hunter Biden
4%

Jon Stewart
3%

Elise Stefanik
3%

Ivanka Trump
3%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Wes Moore
3%

Elon Musk
3%

MrBeast
3%

Andrew Yang
3%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

Hillary Clinton
3%

Liz Cheney
3%

Josh Hawley
2%

Beto O’Rourke
2%

Kim Kardashian
2%

Barack Obama
2%

Tom Brady
2%

Tulsi Gabbard
2%

Byron Donalds
2%

John Fetterman
2%

Tim Walz
2%

Michelle Obama
2%

LeBron James
2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%

Roy Cooper
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Mike Pence
1%
$986,831 Vol.

Kamala Harris
12%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Tucker Carlson
11%

Pete Buttigieg
11%

Gavin Newsom
10%

Andy Beshear
10%

Mark Kelly
10%

Donald Trump
9%

Stephen A. Smith
9%

Brian Kemp
9%

Steve Bannon
9%

Don Lemon
8%

Gretchen Whitmer
8%

Ted Cruz
8%

Rand Paul
8%

Matt Gaetz
8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%

J.B. Pritzker
8%

Candace Owens
7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

Mark Cuban
7%

George Clooney
7%

Marco Rubio
6%

Vivek Ramaswamy
6%

Ron DeSantis
6%

J.D. Vance
6%

John Thune
6%

Cory Booker
5%

Erika Kirk
5%

Glenn Youngkin
5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%

Donald Trump Jr.
5%

Josh Shapiro
5%

Gina Raimondo
4%

Jared Polis
4%

Oprah Winfrey
4%

Greg Abbott
4%

Kristi Noem
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Hunter Biden
4%

Jon Stewart
3%

Elise Stefanik
3%

Ivanka Trump
3%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Wes Moore
3%

Elon Musk
3%

MrBeast
3%

Andrew Yang
3%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

Hillary Clinton
3%

Liz Cheney
3%

Josh Hawley
2%

Beto O’Rourke
2%

Kim Kardashian
2%

Barack Obama
2%

Tom Brady
2%

Tulsi Gabbard
2%

Byron Donalds
2%

John Fetterman
2%

Tim Walz
2%

Michelle Obama
2%

LeBron James
2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%

Roy Cooper
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Mike Pence
1%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have launched formal 2028 presidential campaigns, keeping early-announcement probabilities low across Polymarket outcomes. Potential Democratic contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Rahm Emanuel continue to test the waters through media appearances and donor outreach, while Republican names like JD Vance and Marco Rubio focus on midterm positioning rather than immediate bids. The November 2026 congressional elections represent the clearest near-term catalyst, as strong performances or surprising losses could accelerate exploratory committees or formal announcements before year-end. FEC filings remain limited to minor candidates, underscoring that structural factors—including term limits, party dynamics, and post-midterm recalibration—continue to shape the timeline for any pre-2027 declarations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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