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Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$995,787 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$995,787 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$11,034 Vol.

11%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$52,857 Vol.

11%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$17,163 Vol.

10%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$62,229 Vol.

10%

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Andy Beshear

$9,816 Vol.

10%

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Mark Kelly

$8,679 Vol.

10%

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Pete Buttigieg

$13,955 Vol.

10%

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Rand Paul

$19,279 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$57,034 Vol.

9%

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Stephen A. Smith

$17,212 Vol.

9%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$2,978 Vol.

9%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,846 Vol.

8%

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Ted Cruz

$14,972 Vol.

8%

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J.D. Vance

$29,279 Vol.

8%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,906 Vol.

8%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,062 Vol.

8%

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Steve Bannon

$15,954 Vol.

8%

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Candace Owens

$8,016 Vol.

7%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$1,651 Vol.

7%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$42,177 Vol.

7%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$2,929 Vol.

7%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,512 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$8,495 Vol.

6%

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Josh Shapiro

$9,699 Vol.

6%

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George Clooney

$5,245 Vol.

6%

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Marco Rubio

$9,612 Vol.

5%

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Glenn Youngkin

$6,021 Vol.

5%

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Cory Booker

$15,111 Vol.

5%

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Greg Abbott

$4,010 Vol.

5%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$15,155 Vol.

5%

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Jared Polis

$5,755 Vol.

5%

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Erika Kirk

$23,800 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$2,365 Vol.

5%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,583 Vol.

5%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,785 Vol.

5%

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Gina Raimondo

$4,152 Vol.

4%

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Oprah Winfrey

$16,396 Vol.

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Kristi Noem

$19,819 Vol.

4%

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Hunter Biden

$51,037 Vol.

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Elise Stefanik

$3,705 Vol.

4%

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Nikki Haley

$3,363 Vol.

4%

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Ivanka Trump

$33,493 Vol.

4%

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John Thune

$4,586 Vol.

4%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,270 Vol.

4%

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Jon Stewart

$3,505 Vol.

3%

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Jon Ossoff

$19,702 Vol.

3%

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Wes Moore

$6,830 Vol.

3%

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MrBeast

$29,152 Vol.

3%

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Liz Cheney

$2,844 Vol.

3%

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Zohran Mamdani

$35,217 Vol.

3%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$13,992 Vol.

3%

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Josh Hawley

$7,892 Vol.

2%

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Kim Kardashian

$6,573 Vol.

2%

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Beto O’Rourke

$9,613 Vol.

2%

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Andrew Yang

$14,255 Vol.

2%

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Byron Donalds

$10,103 Vol.

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Tom Brady

$9,550 Vol.

2%

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Barack Obama

$10,722 Vol.

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John Fetterman

$6,934 Vol.

2%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$6,160 Vol.

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Michelle Obama

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LeBron James

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,616 Vol.

2%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$5,710 Vol.

2%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,837 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,278 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$3,391 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$25,960 Vol.

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Roy Cooper

$6,434 Vol.

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Mike Pence

$15,536 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both parties have formed exploratory committees or filed with the FEC but have largely avoided formal announcements as of early August 2026. The 2026 midterm elections in November remain the key near-term catalyst, as historical patterns show major candidates often launch campaigns in the months immediately following. Leading names discussed in polling and media include Democrats such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Andy Beshear, and Jon Ossoff, alongside Republicans like JD Vance and Marco Rubio. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over exact timing, with limited declarations to date and expectations that post-midterm positioning will determine who enters the race before January 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$995,787
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both parties have formed exploratory committees or filed with the FEC but have largely avoided formal announcements as of early August 2026. The 2026 midterm elections in November remain the key near-term catalyst, as historical patterns show major candidates often launch campaigns in the months immediately following. Leading names discussed in polling and media include Democrats such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Andy Beshear, and Jon Ossoff, alongside Republicans like JD Vance and Marco Rubio. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over exact timing, with limited declarations to date and expectations that post-midterm positioning will determine who enters the race before January 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$995,787
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 71+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rahm Emanuel" con 11%, seguido de "Kamala Harris" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" ha generado $995.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?", explora los 71+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es "Rahm Emanuel" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kamala Harris" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.