Skip to main content
icon for ¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$995,787 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$995,787 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$52,857 Vol.

11%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$11,034 Vol.

11%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$17,163 Vol.

10%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$62,229 Vol.

10%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$9,816 Vol.

10%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$8,679 Vol.

10%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$13,955 Vol.

10%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,279 Vol.

9%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$57,034 Vol.

9%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$17,212 Vol.

9%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$2,978 Vol.

9%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,846 Vol.

8%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$14,972 Vol.

8%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$2,906 Vol.

8%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,062 Vol.

8%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$15,954 Vol.

8%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$8,016 Vol.

7%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$29,279 Vol.

7%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$1,651 Vol.

7%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$42,177 Vol.

7%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$2,929 Vol.

7%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,512 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$8,495 Vol.

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,699 Vol.

6%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$5,245 Vol.

6%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,021 Vol.

5%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$15,111 Vol.

5%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,010 Vol.

5%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$9,612 Vol.

5%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$5,755 Vol.

5%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$15,155 Vol.

5%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$23,800 Vol.

5%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$2,365 Vol.

5%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,583 Vol.

5%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,785 Vol.

5%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$4,152 Vol.

4%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$16,396 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$19,819 Vol.

4%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$51,037 Vol.

4%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$3,705 Vol.

4%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$3,363 Vol.

4%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$33,493 Vol.

4%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,270 Vol.

4%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$3,505 Vol.

3%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$4,586 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$19,702 Vol.

3%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$6,830 Vol.

3%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,152 Vol.

3%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$2,844 Vol.

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,217 Vol.

3%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$13,992 Vol.

3%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$14,255 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$7,892 Vol.

2%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$6,573 Vol.

2%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$9,613 Vol.

2%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$10,722 Vol.

2%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$10,103 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$9,550 Vol.

2%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,346 Vol.

2%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$15,943 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,616 Vol.

2%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$5,710 Vol.

2%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$6,160 Vol.

2%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$6,934 Vol.

2%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,837 Vol.

1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$6,434 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,278 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$3,391 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$25,960 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,695 Vol.

1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,536 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 U.S. presidential election cycle remains in its early exploratory phase as of August 2026, with no major-party candidates having launched formal campaigns. Media attention focuses on positioning by figures such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Gavin Newsom, and Kamala Harris through policy speeches, donor outreach, and polling mentions, while a handful of lesser-known individuals have filed FEC paperwork or formed exploratory committees earlier in the year. Party dynamics following the prior election, primary calendar timelines, and potential late-2026 announcements or exploratory steps could influence which names test the waters before the January 1, 2027 threshold, as historical patterns show many contenders signal intent well ahead of Super Tuesday in March 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$995,787
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 U.S. presidential election cycle remains in its early exploratory phase as of August 2026, with no major-party candidates having launched formal campaigns. Media attention focuses on positioning by figures such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Gavin Newsom, and Kamala Harris through policy speeches, donor outreach, and polling mentions, while a handful of lesser-known individuals have filed FEC paperwork or formed exploratory committees earlier in the year. Party dynamics following the prior election, primary calendar timelines, and potential late-2026 announcements or exploratory steps could influence which names test the waters before the January 1, 2027 threshold, as historical patterns show many contenders signal intent well ahead of Super Tuesday in March 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$995,787
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

icon for ¿Anunciará Elon Musk su candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

¿Anunciará Elon Musk su candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

4%
Sí
icon for ¿Anunciará Gavin Newsom su candidatura presidencial antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

¿Anunciará Gavin Newsom su candidatura presidencial antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

9%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará JD Vance las elecciones presidenciales de Estados Unidos de 2028?

¿Ganará JD Vance las elecciones presidenciales de Estados Unidos de 2028?

21%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 71+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kamala Harris" con 11%, seguido de "Rahm Emanuel" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" ha generado $995.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?", explora los 71+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es "Kamala Harris" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Rahm Emanuel" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.