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Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$987,673 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$987,673 Vol.

Polymarket
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Kamala Harris

$51,593 Vol.

12%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,034 Vol.

11%

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Tucker Carlson

$17,123 Vol.

11%

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Pete Buttigieg

$13,939 Vol.

11%

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Gavin Newsom

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Andy Beshear

$9,816 Vol.

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Mark Kelly

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Stephen A. Smith

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Rand Paul

$19,279 Vol.

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Brian Kemp

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Donald Trump

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Don Lemon

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Gretchen Whitmer

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Matt Gaetz

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John Thune

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5%

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Glenn Youngkin

$6,021 Vol.

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Erika Kirk

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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Donald Trump Jr.

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Josh Shapiro

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Gina Raimondo

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no leading figures have formally declared 2028 presidential bids, leaving the market focused on timing incentives for potential candidates from both major parties. Strategic calculations around fundraising, early polling, and party positioning after the prior election cycle continue to shape decisions, with traders weighing historical patterns where announcements often accelerate in the year before primaries. Key variables include scheduled events such as midterm results, national party gatherings, and any shifts in the incumbent administration that could open or close lanes. The absence of confirmed declarations to date underscores the competitive uncertainty, as late 2026 developments in key states or endorsements could prompt earlier moves among frontrunners.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$987,673
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no leading figures have formally declared 2028 presidential bids, leaving the market focused on timing incentives for potential candidates from both major parties. Strategic calculations around fundraising, early polling, and party positioning after the prior election cycle continue to shape decisions, with traders weighing historical patterns where announcements often accelerate in the year before primaries. Key variables include scheduled events such as midterm results, national party gatherings, and any shifts in the incumbent administration that could open or close lanes. The absence of confirmed declarations to date underscores the competitive uncertainty, as late 2026 developments in key states or endorsements could prompt earlier moves among frontrunners.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$987,673
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 71+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kamala Harris" con 12%, seguido de "Rahm Emanuel" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 12¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" ha generado $987.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?", explora los 71+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es "Kamala Harris" con 12%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Rahm Emanuel" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.