OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations in mid-May 2026, including work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a draft prospectus targeting a potential September or Q4 debut, form the core driver behind the 75.5% market-implied probability that it lists before Anthropic. Recent resolution of legal overhangs has enabled faster progress toward public-company readiness for the developer of the GPT large language model family and ChatGPT, while Anthropic’s comparable late-2026 ambitions remain at an earlier informal stage with no equivalent filing momentum reported. Both frontier artificial intelligence labs continue raising capital at valuations exceeding $850 billion amid intense competition, yet OpenAI’s concrete steps and higher recent revenue trajectory support trader consensus favoring an earlier OpenAI debut. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed regulatory filing status or shifts in market conditions that could alter either timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$63,926 Vol.
$63,926 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$63,926 Vol.
$63,926 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations in mid-May 2026, including work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a draft prospectus targeting a potential September or Q4 debut, form the core driver behind the 75.5% market-implied probability that it lists before Anthropic. Recent resolution of legal overhangs has enabled faster progress toward public-company readiness for the developer of the GPT large language model family and ChatGPT, while Anthropic’s comparable late-2026 ambitions remain at an earlier informal stage with no equivalent filing momentum reported. Both frontier artificial intelligence labs continue raising capital at valuations exceeding $850 billion amid intense competition, yet OpenAI’s concrete steps and higher recent revenue trajectory support trader consensus favoring an earlier OpenAI debut. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed regulatory filing status or shifts in market conditions that could alter either timeline.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$63,926Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations in mid-May 2026, including work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a draft prospectus targeting a potential September or Q4 debut, form the core driver behind the 75.5% market-implied probability that it lists before Anthropic. Recent resolution of legal overhangs has enabled faster progress toward public-company readiness for the developer of the GPT large language model family and ChatGPT, while Anthropic’s comparable late-2026 ambitions remain at an earlier informal stage with no equivalent filing momentum reported. Both frontier artificial intelligence labs continue raising capital at valuations exceeding $850 billion amid intense competition, yet OpenAI’s concrete steps and higher recent revenue trajectory support trader consensus favoring an earlier OpenAI debut. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed regulatory filing status or shifts in market conditions that could alter either timeline.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$63,926Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations in mid-May 2026, including work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a draft prospectus targeting a potential September or Q4 debut, form the core driver behind the 75.5% market-implied probability that it lists before Anthropic. Recent resolution of legal overhangs has enabled faster progress toward public-company readiness for the developer of the GPT large language model family and ChatGPT, while Anthropic’s comparable late-2026 ambitions remain at an earlier informal stage with no equivalent filing momentum reported. Both frontier artificial intelligence labs continue raising capital at valuations exceeding $850 billion amid intense competition, yet OpenAI’s concrete steps and higher recent revenue trajectory support trader consensus favoring an earlier OpenAI debut. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed regulatory filing status or shifts in market conditions that could alter either timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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