Anthropic's confidential filing of a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has solidified trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of reaching public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic's recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, outpacing its rival and demonstrating readiness to navigate the IPO process amid favorable market conditions for large artificial intelligence listings. OpenAI continues preparatory work with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own confidential filing, but lacks the same formal SEC step, with timelines pointing to a possible fourth-quarter 2026 debut dependent on regulatory review and broader sentiment. Key catalysts include upcoming earnings visibility and any shifts in capital market appetite that could accelerate or delay either company's timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$101,087 Vol.
$101,087 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$101,087 Vol.
$101,087 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential filing of a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has solidified trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of reaching public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic's recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, outpacing its rival and demonstrating readiness to navigate the IPO process amid favorable market conditions for large artificial intelligence listings. OpenAI continues preparatory work with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own confidential filing, but lacks the same formal SEC step, with timelines pointing to a possible fourth-quarter 2026 debut dependent on regulatory review and broader sentiment. Key catalysts include upcoming earnings visibility and any shifts in capital market appetite that could accelerate or delay either company's timeline.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$101,087Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential filing of a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has solidified trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of reaching public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic's recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, outpacing its rival and demonstrating readiness to navigate the IPO process amid favorable market conditions for large artificial intelligence listings. OpenAI continues preparatory work with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own confidential filing, but lacks the same formal SEC step, with timelines pointing to a possible fourth-quarter 2026 debut dependent on regulatory review and broader sentiment. Key catalysts include upcoming earnings visibility and any shifts in capital market appetite that could accelerate or delay either company's timeline.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$101,102Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential filing of a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, has solidified trader consensus around its 75.5% implied probability of reaching public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic's recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, outpacing its rival and demonstrating readiness to navigate the IPO process amid favorable market conditions for large artificial intelligence listings. OpenAI continues preparatory work with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on its own confidential filing, but lacks the same formal SEC step, with timelines pointing to a possible fourth-quarter 2026 debut dependent on regulatory review and broader sentiment. Key catalysts include upcoming earnings visibility and any shifts in capital market appetite that could accelerate or delay either company's timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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