Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has driven the 75.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer’s recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, combined with banker discussions targeting a possible fall 2026 debut, gives it a clear procedural lead. OpenAI continues preparing paperwork with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and has signaled interest in a September or fourth-quarter window, but it has not yet submitted its draft registration. Traders view the first-mover advantage in raising capital and providing employee liquidity as decisive for these competing large language model developers, though both timelines remain subject to standard SEC review, market conditions, and execution risks typical of complex AI company listings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$101,165 Vol.
$101,165 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$101,165 Vol.
$101,165 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has driven the 75.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer’s recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, combined with banker discussions targeting a possible fall 2026 debut, gives it a clear procedural lead. OpenAI continues preparing paperwork with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and has signaled interest in a September or fourth-quarter window, but it has not yet submitted its draft registration. Traders view the first-mover advantage in raising capital and providing employee liquidity as decisive for these competing large language model developers, though both timelines remain subject to standard SEC review, market conditions, and execution risks typical of complex AI company listings.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$101,165Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has driven the 75.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer’s recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, combined with banker discussions targeting a possible fall 2026 debut, gives it a clear procedural lead. OpenAI continues preparing paperwork with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and has signaled interest in a September or fourth-quarter window, but it has not yet submitted its draft registration. Traders view the first-mover advantage in raising capital and providing employee liquidity as decisive for these competing large language model developers, though both timelines remain subject to standard SEC review, market conditions, and execution risks typical of complex AI company listings.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$101,165Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has driven the 75.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer’s recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, combined with banker discussions targeting a possible fall 2026 debut, gives it a clear procedural lead. OpenAI continues preparing paperwork with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and has signaled interest in a September or fourth-quarter window, but it has not yet submitted its draft registration. Traders view the first-mover advantage in raising capital and providing employee liquidity as decisive for these competing large language model developers, though both timelines remain subject to standard SEC review, market conditions, and execution risks typical of complex AI company listings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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