Anthropic’s confidential U.S. IPO filing on June 1 has driven trader consensus toward a 76.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets first. The Claude developer’s move, which positions a potential debut as soon as this fall, gives it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, whose preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley had been reported in May but have not yet produced a confirmed filing. Both artificial-intelligence labs are targeting valuations near or above $1 trillion amid strong investor demand for large language model companies, yet Anthropic’s completed step accelerates its timeline relative to OpenAI’s still-pending confidential submission. Key upcoming catalysts include SEC review progress for Anthropic and any acceleration in OpenAI’s filing schedule, both of which could shift the race before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$99,783 Vol.
$99,783 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$99,783 Vol.
$99,783 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential U.S. IPO filing on June 1 has driven trader consensus toward a 76.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets first. The Claude developer’s move, which positions a potential debut as soon as this fall, gives it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, whose preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley had been reported in May but have not yet produced a confirmed filing. Both artificial-intelligence labs are targeting valuations near or above $1 trillion amid strong investor demand for large language model companies, yet Anthropic’s completed step accelerates its timeline relative to OpenAI’s still-pending confidential submission. Key upcoming catalysts include SEC review progress for Anthropic and any acceleration in OpenAI’s filing schedule, both of which could shift the race before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$99,783Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential U.S. IPO filing on June 1 has driven trader consensus toward a 76.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets first. The Claude developer’s move, which positions a potential debut as soon as this fall, gives it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, whose preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley had been reported in May but have not yet produced a confirmed filing. Both artificial-intelligence labs are targeting valuations near or above $1 trillion amid strong investor demand for large language model companies, yet Anthropic’s completed step accelerates its timeline relative to OpenAI’s still-pending confidential submission. Key upcoming catalysts include SEC review progress for Anthropic and any acceleration in OpenAI’s filing schedule, both of which could shift the race before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$99,783Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential U.S. IPO filing on June 1 has driven trader consensus toward a 76.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets first. The Claude developer’s move, which positions a potential debut as soon as this fall, gives it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, whose preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley had been reported in May but have not yet produced a confirmed filing. Both artificial-intelligence labs are targeting valuations near or above $1 trillion amid strong investor demand for large language model companies, yet Anthropic’s completed step accelerates its timeline relative to OpenAI’s still-pending confidential submission. Key upcoming catalysts include SEC review progress for Anthropic and any acceleration in OpenAI’s filing schedule, both of which could shift the race before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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