Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has driven the 75% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move, which could enable a listing as soon as this fall, positions the Claude large language model developer ahead in the race for fresh capital and employee liquidity. OpenAI, valued near $850 billion, has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and was preparing a confidential filing as recently as mid-May with a potential September target, yet it has not yet submitted documents. Both AI labs face similar pressures from compute costs and competitive positioning, but Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step has shifted trader consensus toward an earlier debut for the Google- and Amazon-backed firm. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or market-condition updates that could accelerate or delay either timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$102,794 Vol.
$102,794 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$102,794 Vol.
$102,794 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has driven the 75% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move, which could enable a listing as soon as this fall, positions the Claude large language model developer ahead in the race for fresh capital and employee liquidity. OpenAI, valued near $850 billion, has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and was preparing a confidential filing as recently as mid-May with a potential September target, yet it has not yet submitted documents. Both AI labs face similar pressures from compute costs and competitive positioning, but Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step has shifted trader consensus toward an earlier debut for the Google- and Amazon-backed firm. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or market-condition updates that could accelerate or delay either timeline.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$102,794Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has driven the 75% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move, which could enable a listing as soon as this fall, positions the Claude large language model developer ahead in the race for fresh capital and employee liquidity. OpenAI, valued near $850 billion, has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and was preparing a confidential filing as recently as mid-May with a potential September target, yet it has not yet submitted documents. Both AI labs face similar pressures from compute costs and competitive positioning, but Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step has shifted trader consensus toward an earlier debut for the Google- and Amazon-backed firm. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or market-condition updates that could accelerate or delay either timeline.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$102,794Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has driven the 75% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The move, which could enable a listing as soon as this fall, positions the Claude large language model developer ahead in the race for fresh capital and employee liquidity. OpenAI, valued near $850 billion, has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and was preparing a confidential filing as recently as mid-May with a potential September target, yet it has not yet submitted documents. Both AI labs face similar pressures from compute costs and competitive positioning, but Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step has shifted trader consensus toward an earlier debut for the Google- and Amazon-backed firm. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or market-condition updates that could accelerate or delay either timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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