OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file for an IPO in the coming weeks with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are driving the 76% market-implied odds that it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting highlights the ChatGPT maker’s target of being ready as early as September 2026, reflecting its scale, capital needs for large language model infrastructure, and competitive positioning in the artificial intelligence sector. Anthropic has discussed a potential October or Q4 2026 window and engaged bankers earlier, yet lacks the same near-term filing momentum; its strong enterprise focus and path toward quarterly profitability provide a solid foundation but have not produced comparable recent catalysts. Traders view OpenAI’s execution edge and larger funding trajectory as tilting the race, while noting both timelines remain fluid amid regulatory reviews and market conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$62,159 Vol.
$62,159 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$62,159 Vol.
$62,159 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file for an IPO in the coming weeks with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are driving the 76% market-implied odds that it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting highlights the ChatGPT maker’s target of being ready as early as September 2026, reflecting its scale, capital needs for large language model infrastructure, and competitive positioning in the artificial intelligence sector. Anthropic has discussed a potential October or Q4 2026 window and engaged bankers earlier, yet lacks the same near-term filing momentum; its strong enterprise focus and path toward quarterly profitability provide a solid foundation but have not produced comparable recent catalysts. Traders view OpenAI’s execution edge and larger funding trajectory as tilting the race, while noting both timelines remain fluid amid regulatory reviews and market conditions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$62,159Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file for an IPO in the coming weeks with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are driving the 76% market-implied odds that it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting highlights the ChatGPT maker’s target of being ready as early as September 2026, reflecting its scale, capital needs for large language model infrastructure, and competitive positioning in the artificial intelligence sector. Anthropic has discussed a potential October or Q4 2026 window and engaged bankers earlier, yet lacks the same near-term filing momentum; its strong enterprise focus and path toward quarterly profitability provide a solid foundation but have not produced comparable recent catalysts. Traders view OpenAI’s execution edge and larger funding trajectory as tilting the race, while noting both timelines remain fluid amid regulatory reviews and market conditions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$62,159Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file for an IPO in the coming weeks with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are driving the 76% market-implied odds that it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting highlights the ChatGPT maker’s target of being ready as early as September 2026, reflecting its scale, capital needs for large language model infrastructure, and competitive positioning in the artificial intelligence sector. Anthropic has discussed a potential October or Q4 2026 window and engaged bankers earlier, yet lacks the same near-term filing momentum; its strong enterprise focus and path toward quarterly profitability provide a solid foundation but have not produced comparable recent catalysts. Traders view OpenAI’s execution edge and larger funding trajectory as tilting the race, while noting both timelines remain fluid amid regulatory reviews and market conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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