Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June and active preparations for an October Nasdaq listing at up to a $2 trillion valuation drive the market’s 94% implied probability that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility, projecting a second consecutive profitable quarter with strong revenue growth from its Claude large language models, and targeting a roadshow in mid-October ahead of the U.S. midterms. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in mid-September that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While Anthropic’s timeline could still slip due to regulatory review or market conditions, OpenAI’s explicit delay reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic’s first-mover position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Antropic u OpenAI saldrán a bolsa primero?
¿Antropic u OpenAI saldrán a bolsa primero?
Anthropic
94% probabilidad
$367,205 Vol.
$367,205 Vol.
30 dic 2027
Anthropic
94% probabilidad
$367,205 Vol.
$367,205 Vol.
30 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June and active preparations for an October Nasdaq listing at up to a $2 trillion valuation drive the market’s 94% implied probability that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility, projecting a second consecutive profitable quarter with strong revenue growth from its Claude large language models, and targeting a roadshow in mid-October ahead of the U.S. midterms. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in mid-September that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While Anthropic’s timeline could still slip due to regulatory review or market conditions, OpenAI’s explicit delay reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic’s first-mover position.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$367,205Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June and active preparations for an October Nasdaq listing at up to a $2 trillion valuation drive the market’s 94% implied probability that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility, projecting a second consecutive profitable quarter with strong revenue growth from its Claude large language models, and targeting a roadshow in mid-October ahead of the U.S. midterms. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in mid-September that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While Anthropic’s timeline could still slip due to regulatory review or market conditions, OpenAI’s explicit delay reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic’s first-mover position.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$367,205Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June and active preparations for an October Nasdaq listing at up to a $2 trillion valuation drive the market’s 94% implied probability that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility, projecting a second consecutive profitable quarter with strong revenue growth from its Claude large language models, and targeting a roadshow in mid-October ahead of the U.S. midterms. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in mid-September that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While Anthropic’s timeline could still slip due to regulatory review or market conditions, OpenAI’s explicit delay reinforces trader consensus around Anthropic’s first-mover position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La oferta pública inicial de Anthropic ocurrirá en octubre de 2026 (ET)?
56%
Sí
¿Anthropic u OpenAI: cuál tendrá una mayor capitalización de mercado al cierre de su OPI?
69%
Anthropic
¿La capitalización de mercado de Anthropic será de 600.000 millones de dólares o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
96%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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