Geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude above $100 per barrel, lifting the national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up 16 cents in a week and more than $1.20 year-over-year per AAA data. Regional variations remain wide due to taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, with the lowest state averages near $3.75–$3.92 in places like Indiana while California exceeds $6. Refinery outages, seasonal blend shifts, and ongoing supply constraints from Middle East and Ukraine conflicts continue to support elevated prices. Traders monitoring state-level data for any dip below $3.75 will focus on upcoming EIA inventory reports and potential de-escalation signals that could ease crude costs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
20 sep 2026
20 de septiembre
51%
30 de septiembre
49%
31 de octubre
18%
$289 Vol.
20 de septiembre
$81 Vol.
51%
30 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
49%
31 de octubre
$208 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude above $100 per barrel, lifting the national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up 16 cents in a week and more than $1.20 year-over-year per AAA data. Regional variations remain wide due to taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, with the lowest state averages near $3.75–$3.92 in places like Indiana while California exceeds $6. Refinery outages, seasonal blend shifts, and ongoing supply constraints from Middle East and Ukraine conflicts continue to support elevated prices. Traders monitoring state-level data for any dip below $3.75 will focus on upcoming EIA inventory reports and potential de-escalation signals that could ease crude costs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Volumen
$289Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude above $100 per barrel, lifting the national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up 16 cents in a week and more than $1.20 year-over-year per AAA data. Regional variations remain wide due to taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, with the lowest state averages near $3.75–$3.92 in places like Indiana while California exceeds $6. Refinery outages, seasonal blend shifts, and ongoing supply constraints from Middle East and Ukraine conflicts continue to support elevated prices. Traders monitoring state-level data for any dip below $3.75 will focus on upcoming EIA inventory reports and potential de-escalation signals that could ease crude costs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Volumen
$289Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude above $100 per barrel, lifting the national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up 16 cents in a week and more than $1.20 year-over-year per AAA data. Regional variations remain wide due to taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, with the lowest state averages near $3.75–$3.92 in places like Indiana while California exceeds $6. Refinery outages, seasonal blend shifts, and ongoing supply constraints from Middle East and Ukraine conflicts continue to support elevated prices. Traders monitoring state-level data for any dip below $3.75 will focus on upcoming EIA inventory reports and potential de-escalation signals that could ease crude costs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes