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Elecciones·Verde

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Market icon
Elecciones·Verde

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

51% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
51% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volumen
$10
Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volumen
$10
Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 51% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 51¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?" es 51% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 51% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.