Skip to main content
icon for Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro
Deportes·Copa Mundial De La FIFA

Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

icon for Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro
Deportes·Copa Mundial De La FIFA

Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

Kylian Mbappé 100.0%

Lionel Messi <1%

Cristiano Ronaldo <1%

Jude Bellingham <1%

Polymarket

$76,664,218 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé 100.0%

Lionel Messi <1%

Cristiano Ronaldo <1%

Jude Bellingham <1%

Polymarket

$76,664,218 Vol.

Lionel Messi

$11,152,808 Vol.

No

Cristiano Ronaldo

$3,367,960 Vol.

No

Jude Bellingham

$3,596,133 Vol.

No

Raphinha

$404,226 Vol.

No

Noah Okafor

$374,269 Vol.

No

Scott McTominay

$292,882 Vol.

No

Rodrygo

$276,379 Vol.

No

Deniz Undav

$817,981 Vol.

No

Amad Diallo

$677,469 Vol.

No

Depay Memphis

$400,213 Vol.

No

Erling Haaland

$2,903,653 Vol.

No

Kylian Mbappé

$8,273,739 Vol.

Sí

Lamine Yamal

$2,641,574 Vol.

No

Heung-Min Son

$324,299 Vol.

No

Edin Džeko

$301,524 Vol.

No

Vinicius Junior

$1,647,835 Vol.

No

Igor Thiago

$1,649,558 Vol.

No

Serge Gnabry

$212,871 Vol.

No

Viktor Gyökeres

$428,036 Vol.

No

Cody Gakpo

$2,100,160 Vol.

No

Ferran Torres

$646,161 Vol.

No

Marcus Thuram

$219,849 Vol.

No

Ousmane Dembélé

$4,120,566 Vol.

No

Michael Olise

$2,647,205 Vol.

No

Luis Díaz

$512,979 Vol.

No

Ivan Perišić

$279,137 Vol.

No

Andrej Kramarić

$263,767 Vol.

No

Mohamed Salah

$493,684 Vol.

No

Dani Olmo

$458,303 Vol.

No

Desire Doue

$723,374 Vol.

No

Bradley Barcola

$1,174,585 Vol.

No

Sadio Mané

$301,284 Vol.

No

Rafael Leao

$842,465 Vol.

No

Julián Álvarez

$797,813 Vol.

No

Bukayo Saka

$1,594,522 Vol.

No

Harry Kane

$4,246,503 Vol.

No

Lautaro Martínez

$630,207 Vol.

No

Bruno Fernandes

$440,260 Vol.

No

Pedri

$572,355 Vol.

No

Luis Javier Suárez

$610,090 Vol.

No

Kai Havertz

$674,048 Vol.

No

Romelu Lukaku

$1,652,858 Vol.

No

Tim Payne

$43,358 Vol.

No

Donyell Malen

$720,499 Vol.

No

Antoine Semenyo

$498,338 Vol.

No

Mikel Oyarzabal

$5,683,265 Vol.

No

Federico Valverde

$1,478,820 Vol.

No

Dion Beljo

$154,558 Vol.

No

Endrick

$693,806 Vol.

No

Folarin Balogun

$817,698 Vol.

No

Florian Wirtz

$484,391 Vol.

No

Memphis Depay

$343,899 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$76,664,218
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$76,664,218
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Relacionado

icon for ¿Ganará Lionel Messi la Bota de Oro de la MLS 2026?

¿Ganará Lionel Messi la Bota de Oro de la MLS 2026?

61%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará Son Heung-min el premio al Jugador Más Valioso de la MLS 2026?

¿Ganará Son Heung-min el premio al Jugador Más Valioso de la MLS 2026?

44%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará Bruno Fernandes el premio PFA al Jugador del Año 2026?

¿Ganará Bruno Fernandes el premio PFA al Jugador del Año 2026?

80%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 52+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kylian Mbappé" con 100%, seguido de "Lionel Messi" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" ha generado $76.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro", explora los 52+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" es "Kylian Mbappé" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lionel Messi" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.