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icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama
Política·Japón

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama
Política·Japón

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama

Atsumi Harasawa 52%

Yuka Asaka 24%

Kazuma Nakatani 15%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Atsumi Harasawa 52%

Yuka Asaka 24%

Kazuma Nakatani 15%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Atsumi Harasawa

Atsumi Harasawa

$513 Vol.

52%

icon for Yuka Asaka

Yuka Asaka

$114 Vol.

24%

icon for Kazuma Nakatani

Kazuma Nakatani

$70 Vol.

15%

icon for Atsushi Fukuyama

Atsushi Fukuyama

$98 Vol.

11%

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The special election for Yokohama mayor, triggered by former mayor Takeharu Yamanaka’s August 2026 resignation after a third-party report confirmed multiple power harassment incidents against city staff, features a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 announcement and October 18 vote. Atsumi Harasawa, the LDP-recommended lawyer emphasizing compliance and municipal reform, holds the highest implied probability among declared contenders, while Kazuma Nakatani (CDP-supported former lawmaker focused on anti-casino measures and disaster preparedness), Yuka Asaka (JCP candidate prioritizing welfare and base issues), and Atsushi Fukuyama (Sanseito-backed executive) trail with lower trader pricing. The tight positioning reflects multiple viable independents, limited polling data this early, and uncertainty over turnout and any late endorsements or positioning shifts in the brief campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volumen
$794
Fecha de finalización
18 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The special election for Yokohama mayor, triggered by former mayor Takeharu Yamanaka’s August 2026 resignation after a third-party report confirmed multiple power harassment incidents against city staff, features a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 announcement and October 18 vote. Atsumi Harasawa, the LDP-recommended lawyer emphasizing compliance and municipal reform, holds the highest implied probability among declared contenders, while Kazuma Nakatani (CDP-supported former lawmaker focused on anti-casino measures and disaster preparedness), Yuka Asaka (JCP candidate prioritizing welfare and base issues), and Atsushi Fukuyama (Sanseito-backed executive) trail with lower trader pricing. The tight positioning reflects multiple viable independents, limited polling data this early, and uncertainty over turnout and any late endorsements or positioning shifts in the brief campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volumen
$794
Fecha de finalización
18 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Atsumi Harasawa" con 63%, seguido de "Yuka Asaka" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 23, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama" es "Atsumi Harasawa" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Yuka Asaka" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Yokohama" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.