Trader consensus slightly favors Portugal at 50.5% implied probability in this international friendly at Estadio Azteca, driven by Mexico's severe injury crisis with 12 key absences—including starting goalkeeper Luis Malagón, midfielder Marcel Ruiz (torn ACL), striker Santiago Giménez, Luis Chávez, César Huerta, and Edson Álvarez—severely depleting their midfield and attack just days before kickoff. Portugal, despite missing Cristiano Ronaldo (hamstring), Diogo Costa, and others, boasts superior squad depth with Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha, João Neves, Nuno Mendes, and João Félix expected to feature, offsetting the high-altitude home advantage and crowd for the 2026 World Cup co-hosts. Recent squad announcements and injury reports from the past week have tightened the closely contested matchup, elevating draw odds to 26.5% amid friendly rotations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Portugal at 50.5% implied probability in this international friendly at Estadio Azteca, driven by Mexico's severe injury crisis with 12 key absences—including starting goalkeeper Luis Malagón, midfielder Marcel Ruiz (torn ACL), striker Santiago Giménez, Luis Chávez, César Huerta, and Edson Álvarez—severely depleting their midfield and attack just days before kickoff. Portugal, despite missing Cristiano Ronaldo (hamstring), Diogo Costa, and others, boasts superior squad depth with Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha, João Neves, Nuno Mendes, and João Félix expected to feature, offsetting the high-altitude home advantage and crowd for the 2026 World Cup co-hosts. Recent squad announcements and injury reports from the past week have tightened the closely contested matchup, elevating draw odds to 26.5% amid friendly rotations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes