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Desporto·Automação De Recompensas 50 4,5 50

2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick
Desporto·Automação De Recompensas 50 4,5 50

2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick

Caleb Wilson 81%

Cameron Boozer 6.0%

Darius Acuff Jr. 3.6%

Darryn Peterson 2.0%

Polymarket

$167,690 Vol.

Caleb Wilson 81%

Cameron Boozer 6.0%

Darius Acuff Jr. 3.6%

Darryn Peterson 2.0%

Polymarket

$167,690 Vol.

Caleb Wilson

$8,468 Vol.

81%

Cameron Boozer

$11,867 Vol.

10%

Darius Acuff Jr.

$5,024 Vol.

10%

Darryn Peterson

$3,530 Vol.

2%

Will Quaintance

$704 Vol.

1%

Keaton Wagler

$733 Vol.

1%

Karim Lopez

$1,403 Vol.

1%

Kingston Flemings

$865 Vol.

1%

Yaxel Lendeborg

$57,551 Vol.

<1%

Hannes Steinbach

$32,445 Vol.

<1%

AJ Dybantsa

$25,707 Vol.

<1%

Nate Ament

$596 Vol.

<1%

Bennett Stirtz

$14,464 Vol.

<1%

LaBaron Philon

$2,311 Vol.

<1%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$2,022 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Caleb Wilson's dominant freshman season at North Carolina has solidified trader consensus around him for the fourth overall selection in the 2026 NBA Draft. The 6-10 forward posted 19.8 points, 9.4 rebounds, and elite efficiency while showcasing explosive athleticism, length, and two-way impact that elevated his stock from late lottery to consensus top-five range. Recent scouting reports and analyst commentary, including praise for his motor and untapped upside from figures like Seth Greenberg, reinforce his separation from peers such as Cameron Boozer and Darryn Peterson despite a late-season hand injury. The market's 77.5% implied probability for Wilson reflects his polished production profile and the class's established big-four hierarchy heading into pre-draft workouts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$167,690
Data de Término
24 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Caleb Wilson's dominant freshman season at North Carolina has solidified trader consensus around him for the fourth overall selection in the 2026 NBA Draft. The 6-10 forward posted 19.8 points, 9.4 rebounds, and elite efficiency while showcasing explosive athleticism, length, and two-way impact that elevated his stock from late lottery to consensus top-five range. Recent scouting reports and analyst commentary, including praise for his motor and untapped upside from figures like Seth Greenberg, reinforce his separation from peers such as Cameron Boozer and Darryn Peterson despite a late-season hand injury. The market's 77.5% implied probability for Wilson reflects his polished production profile and the class's established big-four hierarchy heading into pre-draft workouts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$167,690
Data de Término
24 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Caleb Wilson" at 81%, followed by "Cameron Boozer" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" has generated $167.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" is "Caleb Wilson" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Boozer" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.