Polymarket traders assign closely matched implied probabilities to AAPL closing bins around $270, with $270-$275 (20%), $265-$270 (18.5%), and $275-$280 (18.5%) leading, reflecting the stock's recent close at $271.06 amid subdued trading volume of 38 million shares and options-implied expected move of ±$2.71 (1%) through April 27 expiry. This tight clustering stems from a modest pullback from mid-week highs near $275, balanced by the fresh announcement of Tim Cook's retirement and John Ternus' CEO appointment, which introduced mild volatility without derailing consensus stability. Competitive dynamics hinge on Friday's session flows, tech sector rotation, and macro cues, ahead of Q2 earnings on April 30 that could influence post-resolution positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$270-$275 21%
$265-$270 19%
$275-$280 19%
$260-$265 17%
NEW
NEW
May 1, 2026
<$250
14%
$250-$255
10%
$255-$260
12%
$260-$265
17%
$265-$270
19%
$270-$275
21%
$275-$280
19%
$280-$285
16%
$285-$290
9%
$290-$295
8%
>$295
13%
$270-$275 21%
$265-$270 19%
$275-$280 19%
$260-$265 17%
NEW
NEW
May 1, 2026
<$250
$58 Vol.
14%
$250-$255
$5 Vol.
10%
$255-$260
$0 Vol.
12%
$260-$265
$0 Vol.
17%
$265-$270
$0 Vol.
19%
$270-$275
$0 Vol.
21%
$275-$280
$0 Vol.
19%
$280-$285
$0 Vol.
16%
$285-$290
$0 Vol.
9%
$290-$295
$0 Vol.
8%
>$295
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign closely matched implied probabilities to AAPL closing bins around $270, with $270-$275 (20%), $265-$270 (18.5%), and $275-$280 (18.5%) leading, reflecting the stock's recent close at $271.06 amid subdued trading volume of 38 million shares and options-implied expected move of ±$2.71 (1%) through April 27 expiry. This tight clustering stems from a modest pullback from mid-week highs near $275, balanced by the fresh announcement of Tim Cook's retirement and John Ternus' CEO appointment, which introduced mild volatility without derailing consensus stability. Competitive dynamics hinge on Friday's session flows, tech sector rotation, and macro cues, ahead of Q2 earnings on April 30 that could influence post-resolution positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$63End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign closely matched implied probabilities to AAPL closing bins around $270, with $270-$275 (20%), $265-$270 (18.5%), and $275-$280 (18.5%) leading, reflecting the stock's recent close at $271.06 amid subdued trading volume of 38 million shares and options-implied expected move of ±$2.71 (1%) through April 27 expiry. This tight clustering stems from a modest pullback from mid-week highs near $275, balanced by the fresh announcement of Tim Cook's retirement and John Ternus' CEO appointment, which introduced mild volatility without derailing consensus stability. Competitive dynamics hinge on Friday's session flows, tech sector rotation, and macro cues, ahead of Q2 earnings on April 30 that could influence post-resolution positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$63End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign closely matched implied probabilities to AAPL closing bins around $270, with $270-$275 (20%), $265-$270 (18.5%), and $275-$280 (18.5%) leading, reflecting the stock's recent close at $271.06 amid subdued trading volume of 38 million shares and options-implied expected move of ±$2.71 (1%) through April 27 expiry. This tight clustering stems from a modest pullback from mid-week highs near $275, balanced by the fresh announcement of Tim Cook's retirement and John Ternus' CEO appointment, which introduced mild volatility without derailing consensus stability. Competitive dynamics hinge on Friday's session flows, tech sector rotation, and macro cues, ahead of Q2 earnings on April 30 that could influence post-resolution positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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