Skip to main content
icon for Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

icon for Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

NEU
30. Juni 2026
Polymarket

$7,064 Vol.

Polymarket

↓ 450.0k

$129 Vol.

71%

↓ 400.0k

$18 Vol.

52%

↓ 350.0k

$200 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Anthropic's Claude Code agent has seen accelerated adoption in software development through frequent releases of agentic features, including computer use integration, self-directed "dreaming" note-taking, and enhanced memory across sessions. These updates, combined with doubled rate limits and expanded compute capacity announced in early May, have enabled longer autonomous runs that directly contribute to public GitHub commits, where Claude Code already accounts for roughly 4 percent of daily activity. Developers at companies like Rakuten and CRED report shifting workflows to delegate complex tasks, accelerating output without eliminating human oversight. A June 15 separation of Agent SDK usage from standard subscription pools could alter cost dynamics and volume in the final weeks before the June 30 resolution. The competitive edge stems from consistent benchmark gains in coding and agentic benchmarks relative to peers, though product timelines and adoption curves remain sensitive to any performance regressions or policy shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.

Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$7,064
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Anthropic's Claude Code agent has seen accelerated adoption in software development through frequent releases of agentic features, including computer use integration, self-directed "dreaming" note-taking, and enhanced memory across sessions. These updates, combined with doubled rate limits and expanded compute capacity announced in early May, have enabled longer autonomous runs that directly contribute to public GitHub commits, where Claude Code already accounts for roughly 4 percent of daily activity. Developers at companies like Rakuten and CRED report shifting workflows to delegate complex tasks, accelerating output without eliminating human oversight. A June 15 separation of Agent SDK usage from standard subscription pools could alter cost dynamics and volume in the final weeks before the June 30 resolution. The competitive edge stems from consistent benchmark gains in coding and agentic benchmarks relative to peers, though product timelines and adoption curves remain sensitive to any performance regressions or policy shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.

Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$7,064
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „↑ 750.0k" mit 100%, gefolgt von „↑ 700.0k" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 26, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" ist „↑ 750.0k" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „↑ 700.0k" mit 100%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.