The United States enters the 2026 World Cup Round of 32 matchup against Bosnia and Herzegovina as clear favorites, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to a U.S. victory. The co-hosts topped Group D despite a narrow 3-2 group-stage defeat to Türkiye on June 25, preserving strong momentum heading into the July 1 knockout clash in Santa Clara. Bosnia secured their berth via a 3-1 win over Qatar but face a significant step up in competition against a deeper American roster with greater depth and home-soil familiarity. Historical World Cup patterns and recent form differentials support the market's assessment of Bosnia as underdogs, while the draw price reflects the inherent unpredictability of single-elimination soccer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIf United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 26, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 26, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...The United States enters the 2026 World Cup Round of 32 matchup against Bosnia and Herzegovina as clear favorites, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to a U.S. victory. The co-hosts topped Group D despite a narrow 3-2 group-stage defeat to Türkiye on June 25, preserving strong momentum heading into the July 1 knockout clash in Santa Clara. Bosnia secured their berth via a 3-1 win over Qatar but face a significant step up in competition against a deeper American roster with greater depth and home-soil familiarity. Historical World Cup patterns and recent form differentials support the market's assessment of Bosnia as underdogs, while the draw price reflects the inherent unpredictability of single-elimination soccer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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