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icon for 2026年第21周流感住院率?

2026年第21周流感住院率?

icon for 2026年第21周流感住院率?

2026年第21周流感住院率?

85–90 100.0%

<80 <1%

80–85 <1%

90–95 <1%

Polymarket

$5,474 交易量

85–90 100.0%

<80 <1%

80–85 <1%

90–95 <1%

Polymarket

$5,474 交易量

<80

$647 交易量

80–85

$360 交易量

85–90

$1,193 交易量

90–95

$1,382 交易量

95–100

$928 交易量

100以上

$964 交易量

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate for Week 21, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data showing steady accumulation through the season's peak and shoulder weeks. Weekly rates have fallen sharply from highs above 12 per 100,000 in late December 2025 to just 0.2 per 100,000 by Week 18 in mid-May, pushing the cumulative total to 86.3 per 100,000 with only modest further gains expected amid low transmission. Official estimates place total season hospitalizations near 380,000, consistent with a moderately severe H3N2-dominated season that ranks among the higher cumulative burdens since 2010–2011. Minimal new admissions forecasted through early June support the narrow band, though final resolution remains subject to routine data revisions and any late-season reporting adjustments from the surveillance network.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$5,474
结束日期
2026-06-05
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate for Week 21, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data showing steady accumulation through the season's peak and shoulder weeks. Weekly rates have fallen sharply from highs above 12 per 100,000 in late December 2025 to just 0.2 per 100,000 by Week 18 in mid-May, pushing the cumulative total to 86.3 per 100,000 with only modest further gains expected amid low transmission. Official estimates place total season hospitalizations near 380,000, consistent with a moderately severe H3N2-dominated season that ranks among the higher cumulative burdens since 2010–2011. Minimal new admissions forecasted through early June support the narrow band, though final resolution remains subject to routine data revisions and any late-season reporting adjustments from the surveillance network.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$5,474
结束日期
2026-06-05
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年第21周流感住院率?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"85–90",概率为 100%,其次是"100以上",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2026年第21周流感住院率?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2026年第21周流感住院率?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年第21周流感住院率?"的当前领先者是"85–90",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"100以上",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年第21周流感住院率?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。