**Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, along with real-time surface observations from Turkish meteorological stations, support a maximum temperature of 29°C in Ankara on June 16, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light southerly flow have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant convective interference, aligning the forecast tightly with this value. Historical June climatology for central Anatolia places typical maxima in the 26–29°C range, providing additional context for the tight market consensus. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, a stronger-than-forecast northerly wind component, or revisions in post-processed observational data from the official reporting station, though these remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,277 交易量
$51,277 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,277 交易量
$51,277 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, along with real-time surface observations from Turkish meteorological stations, support a maximum temperature of 29°C in Ankara on June 16, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light southerly flow have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant convective interference, aligning the forecast tightly with this value. Historical June climatology for central Anatolia places typical maxima in the 26–29°C range, providing additional context for the tight market consensus. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, a stronger-than-forecast northerly wind component, or revisions in post-processed observational data from the official reporting station, though these remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions